SCHW Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 55 trades in period
+10.22%
Last 6 Months Return
$14,485.96
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$13,142.89
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49 neutral
20d Trend
-0.0%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
48
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
22.8/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
5.3/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality
48.8/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 48.0
30-Day Momentum
7
-3.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6
Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-41 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,312
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
130 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,142.89
Current Value
$14,485.96
Period P&L
$1,343.09
Max Drawdown
-6.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
55
Winners / Losers
26 /
29
Best Trade
+2.82%
Worst Trade
-2.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
18.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,544,861.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,343.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,343.09
Gross Return
+10.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.22%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SCHW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 130 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 55 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,142.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 12:20pm ET | $94.39 | 139 | $13,120.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:05am ET | $94.82 | 139 | $13,180.15 | $13,202.81 |
+$59.94 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $97.25 | 135 | $13,128.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 2:20pm ET | $97.51 | 135 | $13,163.85 | $13,237.91 |
+$35.10 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 11:10am ET | $95.09 | 139 | $13,217.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 12:45pm ET | $94.92 | 139 | $13,193.88 | $13,214.28 |
$-23.63 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:45am ET | $92.73 | 142 | $13,167.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 12:15pm ET | $92.62 | 142 | $13,152.04 | $13,198.66 |
$-15.62 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 1:15pm ET | $92.10 | 143 | $13,170.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 2:15pm ET | $91.91 | 143 | $13,143.13 | $13,171.49 |
$-27.17 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:55am ET | $90.71 | 145 | $13,152.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 1:15pm ET | $90.04 | 145 | $13,055.80 | $13,074.34 |
$-97.15 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 11:30am ET | $90.46 | 144 | $13,026.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 3:50pm ET | $91.99 | 144 | $13,246.56 | $13,294.66 |
+$220.32 (+1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:25am ET | $92.93 | 143 | $13,288.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 11:25am ET | $92.60 | 143 | $13,241.80 | $13,247.47 |
$-47.19 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 1:25pm ET | $95.28 | 139 | $13,243.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET | $94.98 | 139 | $13,201.53 | $13,205.08 |
$-42.40 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 2:15pm ET | $93.49 | 141 | $13,182.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 12:35pm ET | $94.95 | 141 | $13,388.11 | $13,411.09 |
+$206.02 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 1:00pm ET | $95.02 | 141 | $13,397.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 9:40am ET | $95.78 | 141 | $13,504.28 | $13,517.55 |
+$106.46 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 12:10pm ET | $95.53 | 141 | $13,469.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 2:05pm ET | $95.71 | 141 | $13,494.41 | $13,542.93 |
+$25.38 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:45am ET | $95.84 | 141 | $13,513.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 12:30pm ET | $95.71 | 141 | $13,495.11 | $13,524.60 |
$-18.33 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 2:25pm ET | $96.37 | 140 | $13,491.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 9:45am ET | $96.42 | 140 | $13,498.80 | $13,532.30 |
+$7.70 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $100.10 | 135 | $13,513.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 10:35am ET | $101.47 | 135 | $13,698.45 | $13,717.25 |
+$184.95 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 2:05pm ET | $101.74 | 134 | $13,632.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 2:20pm ET | $101.69 | 134 | $13,626.97 | $13,711.73 |
$-5.52 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 2:35pm ET | $101.42 | 135 | $13,691.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $101.34 | 135 | $13,680.90 | $13,701.60 |
$-10.13 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 12:15pm ET | $100.40 | 136 | $13,653.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET | $100.27 | 136 | $13,636.72 | $13,684.60 |
$-17.00 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.42 | 133 | $13,621.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:05pm ET | $103.88 | 133 | $13,816.05 | $13,878.80 |
+$194.19 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:20pm ET | $103.09 | 134 | $13,814.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:10pm ET | $102.78 | 134 | $13,772.43 | $13,837.16 |
$-41.63 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 11:15am ET | $101.40 | 136 | $13,789.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $101.29 | 136 | $13,775.44 | $13,822.88 |
$-14.28 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:05pm ET | $101.17 | 136 | $13,759.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $101.14 | 136 | $13,755.04 | $13,818.80 |
$-4.08 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:00am ET | $100.57 | 137 | $13,777.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:50pm ET | $103.18 | 137 | $14,135.66 | $14,177.06 |
+$358.26 (+2.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $103.54 | 136 | $14,081.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:25am ET | $101.57 | 136 | $13,813.52 | $13,909.14 |
$-267.92 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 12:55pm ET | $102.04 | 136 | $13,876.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $102.12 | 136 | $13,888.32 | $13,920.70 |
+$11.56 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:05pm ET | $102.88 | 135 | $13,888.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $103.71 | 135 | $14,000.85 | $14,032.75 |
+$112.05 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:15pm ET | $103.70 | 135 | $13,999.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 12:45pm ET | $103.40 | 135 | $13,959.00 | $13,992.25 |
$-40.50 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:45pm ET | $103.58 | 135 | $13,983.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $103.59 | 135 | $13,984.65 | $13,993.60 |
+$1.35 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 2:20pm ET | $103.38 | 135 | $13,955.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:45am ET | $103.73 | 135 | $14,003.55 | $14,041.52 |
+$47.93 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $104.01 | 134 | $13,938.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $106.94 | 134 | $14,330.63 | $14,434.14 |
+$392.62 (+2.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 1:00pm ET | $93.29 | 154 | $14,366.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 2:40pm ET | $93.35 | 154 | $14,375.90 | $14,443.38 |
+$9.24 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $93.65 | 154 | $14,422.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $93.17 | 154 | $14,348.18 | $14,369.46 |
$-73.92 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $94.14 | 152 | $14,309.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:45pm ET | $95.44 | 152 | $14,506.88 | $14,567.06 |
+$197.60 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 1:30pm ET | $94.54 | 154 | $14,559.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $95.16 | 154 | $14,654.19 | $14,662.09 |
+$95.03 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:30am ET | $95.13 | 154 | $14,650.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:15pm ET | $95.44 | 154 | $14,697.76 | $14,709.83 |
+$47.74 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:45pm ET | $96.09 | 153 | $14,701.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $95.64 | 153 | $14,633.68 | $14,641.75 |
$-68.08 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $94.29 | 155 | $14,614.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $94.19 | 155 | $14,599.45 | $14,627.02 |
$-14.73 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 12:40pm ET | $92.23 | 158 | $14,572.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 1:45pm ET | $91.95 | 158 | $14,528.10 | $14,582.78 |
$-44.24 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 3:15pm ET | $90.89 | 160 | $14,542.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 1:30pm ET | $93.20 | 160 | $14,911.73 | $14,952.11 |
+$369.33 (+2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $94.44 | 158 | $14,921.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 11:00am ET | $94.25 | 158 | $14,891.50 | $14,922.09 |
$-30.02 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:45am ET | $93.53 | 159 | $14,871.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:20am ET | $93.22 | 159 | $14,821.98 | $14,872.80 |
$-49.29 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 3:45pm ET | $94.31 | 157 | $14,806.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:45am ET | $95.15 | 157 | $14,939.33 | $15,005.47 |
+$132.67 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 2:25pm ET | $96.10 | 156 | $14,991.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $96.04 | 156 | $14,982.24 | $14,996.11 |
$-9.36 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 2:25pm ET | $94.46 | 158 | $14,924.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 3:30pm ET | $94.25 | 158 | $14,891.50 | $14,962.93 |
$-33.18 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $93.01 | 160 | $14,881.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:35am ET | $92.76 | 160 | $14,841.60 | $14,922.93 |
$-40.00 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:15am ET | $93.75 | 159 | $14,906.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET | $93.89 | 159 | $14,929.30 | $14,945.98 |
+$23.05 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 3:40pm ET | $93.61 | 159 | $14,883.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:00pm ET | $92.74 | 159 | $14,744.87 | $14,806.86 |
$-139.13 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $97.53 | 151 | $14,727.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:45pm ET | $94.85 | 151 | $14,322.35 | $14,402.18 |
$-404.68 (-2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $99.55 | 144 | $14,335.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:45pm ET | $99.93 | 144 | $14,389.92 | $14,456.90 |
+$54.72 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6.3h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 10:45am ET | $92.72 | 155 | $14,371.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:45pm ET | $92.33 | 155 | $14,311.15 | $14,396.45 |
$-60.45 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 1:55pm ET | $92.53 | 155 | $14,341.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $92.09 | 155 | $14,273.95 | $14,329.02 |
$-67.43 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $89.44 | 160 | $14,310.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 1:45pm ET | $90.27 | 160 | $14,443.20 | $14,461.82 |
+$132.80 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:15am ET | $90.51 | 159 | $14,391.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:15pm ET | $90.51 | 159 | $14,391.09 | $14,461.82 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $92.61 | 156 | $14,446.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 12:25pm ET | $92.34 | 156 | $14,405.04 | $14,420.00 |
$-41.82 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $91.49 | 157 | $14,363.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 1:20pm ET | $91.91 | 157 | $14,429.87 | $14,485.96 |
+$65.96 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,485.96
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,485.96
Total Return:
+44.86%