SLV Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 55 trades in period
-16.64%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,131.32
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$14,553.71
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
24
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.8/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
23.7/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 23.6
30-Day Momentum
9
-6.1%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$14,553.71
Current Value
$12,131.32
Period P&L
$-2,422.39
Max Drawdown
-14.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
55
Winners / Losers
16 /
39
Best Trade
+8.29%
Worst Trade
-7.06%
Avg Trade Return
-0.31%
Avg Hold Time
14.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,387,441.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,422.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,422.39
Gross Return
-16.64%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.64%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 55 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $14,553.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 2:25pm ET | $62.97 | 231 | $14,547.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $62.88 | 231 | $14,525.30 | $14,531.79 |
$-21.92 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.50 | 225 | $14,512.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:30pm ET | $63.96 | 225 | $14,391.00 | $14,410.29 |
$-121.50 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:40pm ET | $68.46 | 210 | $14,375.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.62 | 210 | $13,360.83 | $13,395.57 |
$-1,014.72 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $65.89 | 203 | $13,374.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $65.54 | 203 | $13,304.62 | $13,325.53 |
$-70.04 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $64.69 | 205 | $13,261.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $64.74 | 205 | $13,270.68 | $13,334.98 |
+$9.45 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $68.94 | 193 | $13,306.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $68.86 | 193 | $13,290.94 | $13,319.54 |
$-15.44 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 12:20pm ET | $67.50 | 197 | $13,297.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:20pm ET | $67.86 | 197 | $13,368.42 | $13,390.72 |
+$71.18 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $71.89 | 186 | $13,370.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:10am ET | $72.10 | 186 | $13,410.60 | $13,430.71 |
+$39.99 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $71.47 | 187 | $13,364.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $71.27 | 187 | $13,327.49 | $13,393.29 |
$-37.42 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:05pm ET | $72.38 | 185 | $13,390.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $72.19 | 185 | $13,356.07 | $13,359.07 |
$-34.22 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $70.40 | 189 | $13,305.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:45pm ET | $70.29 | 189 | $13,283.87 | $13,337.32 |
$-21.75 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 12:45pm ET | $69.17 | 192 | $13,280.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $68.80 | 192 | $13,209.60 | $13,266.28 |
$-71.04 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 12:55pm ET | $68.01 | 195 | $13,262.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.68 | 195 | $12,807.60 | $12,810.96 |
$-455.32 (-3.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 3:05pm ET | $64.71 | 197 | $12,747.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $66.47 | 197 | $13,094.59 | $13,157.68 |
+$346.72 (+2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.28 | 179 | $13,117.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 11:15am ET | $72.54 | 179 | $12,984.66 | $13,025.22 |
$-132.46 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 1:40pm ET | $77.40 | 168 | $13,004.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.46 | 168 | $12,845.30 | $12,866.48 |
$-158.74 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 12:10pm ET | $69.49 | 185 | $12,855.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 2:10pm ET | $69.49 | 185 | $12,855.65 | $12,866.48 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $68.57 | 187 | $12,821.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 2:50pm ET | $68.64 | 187 | $12,835.68 | $12,880.50 |
+$14.02 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 2:20pm ET | $67.79 | 190 | $12,880.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 3:05pm ET | $68.39 | 190 | $12,993.15 | $12,993.55 |
+$113.05 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.59 | 189 | $12,963.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $66.19 | 189 | $12,509.91 | $12,539.95 |
$-453.60 (-3.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 11:00am ET | $61.87 | 202 | $12,496.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 1:20pm ET | $61.97 | 202 | $12,518.95 | $12,562.17 |
+$22.22 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 2:05pm ET | $58.90 | 213 | $12,545.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 12:40pm ET | $57.81 | 213 | $12,312.47 | $12,328.93 |
$-233.24 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.29 | 191 | $12,278.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 12:30pm ET | $63.63 | 191 | $12,154.28 | $12,204.78 |
$-124.15 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.99 | 203 | $12,177.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 10:40am ET | $59.61 | 203 | $12,100.77 | $12,127.58 |
$-77.20 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.76 | 229 | $12,080.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 3:05pm ET | $52.53 | 229 | $12,030.51 | $12,077.20 |
$-50.38 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.13 | 219 | $12,072.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 12:10pm ET | $55.08 | 219 | $12,062.54 | $12,066.82 |
$-10.38 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 12:40pm ET | $55.75 | 216 | $12,042.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.27 | 216 | $11,938.32 | $11,963.14 |
$-103.68 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 1:50pm ET | $54.62 | 219 | $11,960.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $54.49 | 219 | $11,934.40 | $11,936.86 |
$-26.28 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $53.95 | 221 | $11,922.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.97 | 221 | $11,707.47 | $11,721.41 |
$-215.45 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 2:15pm ET | $53.20 | 220 | $11,703.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.80 | 220 | $11,616.00 | $11,633.43 |
$-87.98 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $51.03 | 227 | $11,584.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 1:45pm ET | $50.58 | 227 | $11,481.66 | $11,530.15 |
$-103.28 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.84 | 218 | $11,519.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 1:05pm ET | $53.16 | 218 | $11,588.77 | $11,599.52 |
+$69.37 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $52.31 | 221 | $11,559.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $52.03 | 221 | $11,498.63 | $11,538.74 |
$-60.78 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $53.05 | 217 | $11,511.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $52.71 | 217 | $11,438.07 | $11,464.94 |
$-73.80 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:45am ET | $51.81 | 221 | $11,451.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 1:05pm ET | $51.76 | 221 | $11,439.78 | $11,453.60 |
$-11.34 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $52.87 | 216 | $11,419.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 11:15am ET | $52.51 | 216 | $11,342.16 | $11,375.84 |
$-77.76 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $51.83 | 219 | $11,349.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.12 | 219 | $12,291.00 | $12,317.17 |
+$941.33 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $55.47 | 222 | $12,314.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 12:25pm ET | $57.19 | 222 | $12,695.27 | $12,698.10 |
+$380.93 (+3.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 12:25pm ET | $58.81 | 215 | $12,644.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 12:50pm ET | $58.67 | 215 | $12,612.98 | $12,666.92 |
$-31.18 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 1:00pm ET | $58.56 | 216 | $12,648.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 1:45pm ET | $58.46 | 216 | $12,627.36 | $12,645.32 |
$-21.60 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.01 | 214 | $12,627.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $59.80 | 214 | $12,797.20 | $12,815.45 |
+$170.13 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.94 | 217 | $12,789.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 1:30pm ET | $59.33 | 217 | $12,875.69 | $12,901.21 |
+$85.76 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 3:15pm ET | $61.65 | 209 | $12,885.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 2:40pm ET | $62.83 | 209 | $13,131.47 | $13,146.79 |
+$245.58 (+1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 3:40pm ET | $62.00 | 212 | $13,144.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.14 | 212 | $12,961.04 | $12,963.01 |
$-183.78 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 1:10pm ET | $61.50 | 210 | $12,915.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 2:00pm ET | $61.43 | 210 | $12,901.33 | $12,949.13 |
$-13.88 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $62.72 | 206 | $12,920.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $62.06 | 206 | $12,783.33 | $12,812.14 |
$-136.99 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 12:15pm ET | $59.98 | 213 | $12,775.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.35 | 213 | $12,428.55 | $12,464.95 |
$-347.19 (-2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $58.79 | 212 | $12,463.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 12:35pm ET | $58.72 | 212 | $12,447.58 | $12,449.07 |
$-15.88 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $59.83 | 208 | $12,443.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 12:10pm ET | $59.70 | 208 | $12,418.04 | $12,423.51 |
$-25.56 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.19 | 203 | $12,421.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $60.47 | 203 | $12,275.41 | $12,277.35 |
$-146.16 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.68 | 209 | $12,264.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $58.08 | 209 | $12,138.72 | $12,151.93 |
$-125.42 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 11:35am ET | $57.25 | 212 | $12,137.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 3:10pm ET | $57.40 | 212 | $12,168.80 | $12,183.73 |
+$31.80 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.05 | 206 | $12,164.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 2:45pm ET | $60.08 | 206 | $12,377.51 | $12,396.94 |
+$213.21 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 11:15am ET | $59.63 | 207 | $12,342.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $59.38 | 207 | $12,290.63 | $12,345.19 |
$-51.75 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 1:55pm ET | $58.35 | 211 | $12,310.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $57.33 | 211 | $12,096.93 | $12,131.32 |
$-213.87 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,131.32
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,131.32
Total Return:
+21.31%