Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:19:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.0/35
Total Return
15.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 28.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 27.8

30-Day Momentum

70
+14.2%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
2.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 77.7 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+42 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,668.43
Current Value
$17,374.86
Period P&L
$5,706.41
Max Drawdown
-43.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
61
Winners / Losers
25 / 36
Best Trade
+16.15%
Worst Trade
-4.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.74%
Avg Hold Time
15.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,645,735.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,706.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,706.41
Gross Return
+48.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+48.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 61 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,668.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $21.99 530 $11,654.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $21.60 530 $11,448.00 $11,461.74 $-206.70
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $23.87 480 $11,458.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $23.41 480 $11,236.80 $11,240.27 $-221.47
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:25am ET $21.87 513 $11,219.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:25pm ET $21.83 513 $11,198.79 $11,219.75 $-20.52
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $21.35 525 $11,208.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:00pm ET $21.45 525 $11,261.25 $11,272.30 +$52.55
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $23.00 489 $11,249.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $21.99 489 $10,753.11 $10,775.97 $-496.33
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:55am ET $22.42 480 $10,761.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:35pm ET $22.32 480 $10,711.20 $10,725.57 $-50.40
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $23.49 456 $10,712.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $23.43 456 $10,686.36 $10,699.35 $-26.22
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $25.27 423 $10,691.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $25.07 423 $10,604.61 $10,612.64 $-86.71
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:35pm ET $27.37 387 $10,592.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:45am ET $27.36 387 $10,590.25 $10,610.70 $-1.94
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $28.46 372 $10,585.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $28.16 372 $10,475.52 $10,500.70 $-110.00
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:50am ET $29.05 361 $10,487.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $29.05 361 $10,487.05 $10,500.70 $0.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $27.50 381 $10,477.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $28.83 381 $10,986.13 $11,009.33 +$508.63
(+4.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.3h held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $27.63 398 $10,994.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $27.75 398 $11,046.49 $11,061.07 +$51.74
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $27.68 399 $11,046.31 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $31.36 399 $12,512.64 $12,527.40 +$1,466.33
(+13.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
19h held
15 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $33.74 371 $12,519.39 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $34.79 371 $12,908.94 $12,916.95 +$389.55
(+3.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
16 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 1:20pm ET $32.08 402 $12,896.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:00am ET $32.16 402 $12,928.32 $12,949.11 +$32.16
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held
17 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $32.88 393 $12,923.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $31.55 393 $12,399.15 $12,424.46 $-524.65
(-4.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
18 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 12:55pm ET $30.28 410 $12,416.85 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:50am ET $30.17 410 $12,367.65 $12,375.26 $-49.20
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held
19 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:45pm ET $33.57 368 $12,353.76 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $33.09 368 $12,177.12 $12,198.62 $-176.64
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
20 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $36.25 336 $12,180.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:30am ET $37.05 336 $12,448.77 $12,467.39 +$268.77
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
21 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $44.36 281 $12,465.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:00am ET $47.94 281 $13,469.74 $13,471.97 +$1,004.58
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $49.94 269 $13,433.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $49.70 269 $13,370.59 $13,408.67 $-63.30
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $47.09 284 $13,372.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $47.24 284 $13,417.58 $13,453.31 +$44.64
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $42.06 319 $13,417.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $44.08 319 $14,061.52 $14,097.69 +$644.38
(+4.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $29.61 476 $14,094.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $29.83 476 $14,199.03 $14,202.36 +$104.67
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $31.09 456 $14,179.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $29.73 456 $13,554.60 $13,577.64 $-624.72
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $29.27 463 $13,554.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $28.08 463 $13,003.35 $13,026.67 $-550.97
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $30.53 426 $13,005.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $33.83 426 $14,413.71 $14,434.60 +$1,407.93
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:15pm ET $34.23 421 $14,411.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:40am ET $33.17 421 $13,964.57 $13,987.71 $-446.89
(-3.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:10am ET $32.39 431 $13,958.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 11:00am ET $31.96 431 $13,774.76 $13,804.32 $-183.39
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $30.96 445 $13,777.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET $29.60 445 $13,172.00 $13,199.12 $-605.20
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
32 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 12:15pm ET $28.17 468 $13,184.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $28.13 468 $13,164.70 $13,179.18 $-19.94
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $26.08 505 $13,172.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $26.17 505 $13,215.85 $13,222.11 +$42.93
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $28.72 460 $13,211.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 10:25am ET $28.42 460 $13,075.50 $13,086.41 $-135.70
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $27.61 473 $13,059.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:20am ET $27.40 473 $12,960.20 $12,987.08 $-99.33
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 1:40pm ET $26.74 485 $12,966.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $26.60 485 $12,903.42 $12,923.98 $-63.10
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:55am ET $24.32 531 $12,915.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:20pm ET $24.64 531 $13,081.19 $13,089.28 +$165.30
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $25.38 515 $13,070.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $29.48 515 $15,182.20 $15,200.78 +$2,111.50
(+16.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.7h held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $31.52 482 $15,195.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:45am ET $30.17 482 $14,541.94 $14,547.67 $-653.11
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $29.24 497 $14,529.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $28.86 497 $14,343.42 $14,361.30 $-186.38
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:05pm ET $28.42 505 $14,352.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $27.98 505 $14,129.90 $14,139.10 $-222.20
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.4h held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:45am ET $27.33 517 $14,132.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET $27.42 517 $14,176.14 $14,183.05 +$43.95
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
43 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:20am ET $28.37 499 $14,156.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 11:45am ET $28.41 499 $14,174.10 $14,200.47 +$17.42
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
44 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $31.05 457 $14,187.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET $29.57 457 $13,513.49 $13,526.39 $-674.08
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
45 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:40am ET $30.22 447 $13,506.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $32.67 447 $14,603.49 $14,623.19 +$1,096.80
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
46 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:40am ET $32.10 455 $14,605.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $34.70 455 $15,788.50 $15,806.19 +$1,183.00
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
47 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:40am ET $40.25 392 $15,778.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 10:30am ET $39.53 392 $15,493.80 $15,521.99 $-284.20
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $38.22 406 $15,517.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $37.27 406 $15,131.62 $15,136.29 $-385.70
(-2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $36.26 417 $15,122.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $36.45 417 $15,199.65 $15,213.44 +$77.15
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:10pm ET $35.38 430 $15,211.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 3:25pm ET $35.38 430 $15,213.40 $15,215.59 +$2.15
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:55pm ET $37.92 401 $15,207.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $37.72 401 $15,125.76 $15,133.43 $-82.16
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $38.47 393 $15,120.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $38.22 393 $15,022.42 $15,035.18 $-98.25
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:00am ET $37.43 401 $15,009.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 12:00pm ET $37.24 401 $14,934.64 $14,960.39 $-74.79
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
54 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:00pm ET $36.62 408 $14,938.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:00am ET $36.15 408 $14,751.24 $14,772.71 $-187.68
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
19h held
55 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:20am ET $36.87 400 $14,748.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:20am ET $39.87 400 $15,946.00 $15,970.67 +$1,197.96
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $40.93 390 $15,962.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $40.48 390 $15,787.20 $15,795.17 $-175.50
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET $38.31 412 $15,783.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 12:30pm ET $39.26 412 $16,175.12 $16,186.57 +$391.40
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $37.88 427 $16,174.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:45pm ET $37.76 427 $16,123.52 $16,135.76 $-50.81
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $36.56 441 $16,122.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 10:30am ET $39.71 441 $17,509.91 $17,522.71 +$1,386.95
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
60 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $38.81 451 $17,501.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 2:45pm ET $38.78 451 $17,488.97 $17,510.62 $-12.09
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
61 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:45am ET $41.69 419 $17,469.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $41.37 419 $17,334.03 $17,374.86 $-135.76
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,374.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,374.86
Total Return: +73.75%
Back to Grace Crossover