Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:20

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.2/35
Total Return
9.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 16.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 16.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-11.2%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,165.43
Current Value
$11,339.29
Period P&L
$2,173.90
Max Drawdown
-21.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
17 / 37
Best Trade
+30.64%
Worst Trade
-4.88%
Avg Trade Return
+0.50%
Avg Hold Time
18.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,268,971.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,173.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,173.90
Gross Return
+23.72%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 54 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,165.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:50am ET $163.54 56 $9,158.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 2:15pm ET $159.11 56 $8,910.16 $8,917.54 $-247.85
(-2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $162.59 54 $8,779.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:15pm ET $162.31 54 $8,764.74 $8,902.42 $-15.12
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:10am ET $152.41 58 $8,840.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 11:50am ET $151.83 58 $8,806.14 $8,868.49 $-33.93
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $148.96 59 $8,788.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $149.20 59 $8,802.80 $8,882.65 +$14.16
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $119.94 74 $8,875.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:40am ET $129.96 74 $9,616.68 $9,623.77 +$741.12
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET $145.44 66 $9,599.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:20am ET $144.83 66 $9,558.78 $9,583.51 $-40.26
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $152.79 62 $9,472.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $151.59 62 $9,398.58 $9,509.23 $-74.28
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $154.47 61 $9,422.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $146.93 61 $8,962.73 $9,049.29 $-459.94
(-4.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
19h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:50am ET $138.95 65 $9,031.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $144.67 65 $9,403.55 $9,421.41 +$372.12
(+4.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:50am ET $140.74 66 $9,288.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $139.16 66 $9,184.56 $9,317.13 $-104.28
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $139.77 66 $9,225.15 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $153.63 66 $10,139.25 $10,231.23 +$914.10
(+9.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
12 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $149.65 68 $10,176.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:30am ET $150.92 68 $10,262.56 $10,317.59 +$86.36
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held
13 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 2:15pm ET $152.82 67 $10,238.94 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $150.56 67 $10,087.52 $10,166.17 $-151.42
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
14 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:50am ET $152.31 66 $10,052.46 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $158.06 66 $10,431.96 $10,545.67 +$379.50
(+3.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.2h held
15 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:15pm ET $169.40 62 $10,502.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $164.49 62 $10,198.69 $10,241.56 $-304.11
(-2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:40pm ET $172.63 59 $10,185.17 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $171.91 59 $10,142.69 $10,199.08 $-42.48
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
17 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:15am ET $178.27 57 $10,161.39 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $232.90 57 $13,275.30 $13,312.99 +$3,113.91
(+30.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
18 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $248.32 53 $13,160.96 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $247.19 53 $13,101.07 $13,253.10 $-59.89
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $247.71 53 $13,128.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:00pm ET $247.04 53 $13,092.86 $13,217.06 $-36.04
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:55pm ET $241.77 54 $13,055.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $241.36 54 $13,033.44 $13,194.92 $-22.14
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:20pm ET $243.26 54 $13,136.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:55pm ET $242.65 54 $13,102.83 $13,161.71 $-33.21
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:25am ET $240.00 54 $12,960.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $240.98 54 $13,012.87 $13,214.58 +$52.87
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:40pm ET $238.84 55 $13,136.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $236.17 55 $12,989.35 $13,067.73 $-146.85
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 11:05am ET $230.48 56 $12,906.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:35am ET $228.55 56 $12,798.80 $12,959.93 $-107.80
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:20am ET $227.70 56 $12,751.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 2:25pm ET $231.86 56 $12,984.16 $13,192.89 +$232.96
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:20am ET $227.63 57 $12,975.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 1:50pm ET $226.69 57 $12,921.33 $13,139.03 $-53.86
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 11:25am ET $251.09 52 $13,056.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 12:40pm ET $260.57 52 $13,549.64 $13,631.99 +$492.96
(+3.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
28 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:15am ET $261.69 52 $13,607.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $262.62 52 $13,656.24 $13,680.35 +$48.36
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:05pm ET $269.39 50 $13,469.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $257.68 50 $12,884.25 $13,095.35 $-585.00
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
30 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:25pm ET $261.93 49 $12,834.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 1:20pm ET $270.67 49 $13,262.83 $13,523.61 +$428.26
(+3.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
31 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $269.30 50 $13,465.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 10:50am ET $268.52 50 $13,426.00 $13,484.61 $-39.00
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
32 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $270.88 49 $13,273.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $270.46 49 $13,252.54 $13,464.03 $-20.58
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $273.55 49 $13,403.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:35am ET $266.54 49 $13,060.22 $13,120.30 $-343.73
(-2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $275.30 47 $12,939.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET $268.79 47 $12,633.13 $12,814.10 $-306.20
(-2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:05am ET $265.96 48 $12,766.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $272.05 48 $13,058.16 $13,106.18 +$292.08
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:55am ET $290.27 45 $13,062.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 10:55am ET $287.09 45 $12,919.05 $12,963.08 $-143.10
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
37 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET $311.55 41 $12,773.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 11:00am ET $317.70 41 $13,025.70 $13,215.10 +$252.02
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
38 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $319.60 41 $13,103.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 11:20am ET $323.52 41 $13,264.12 $13,375.62 +$160.52
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 2:45pm ET $335.48 39 $13,083.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $334.39 39 $13,041.21 $13,333.06 $-42.56
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
40 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:50am ET $337.10 39 $13,146.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:15am ET $333.32 39 $12,999.48 $13,185.84 $-147.22
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
41 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 2:45pm ET $330.02 39 $12,870.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $323.62 39 $12,621.18 $12,936.05 $-249.79
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
42 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:45am ET $322.65 40 $12,906.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:15am ET $320.88 40 $12,835.20 $12,865.05 $-71.00
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
43 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:40am ET $328.96 39 $12,829.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:15am ET $326.55 39 $12,735.45 $12,770.86 $-94.19
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
44 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:50pm ET $315.67 40 $12,626.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $307.50 40 $12,300.00 $12,444.06 $-326.80
(-2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
45 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $321.01 38 $12,198.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:10pm ET $331.00 38 $12,578.00 $12,823.68 +$379.62
(+3.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
46 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:40am ET $326.26 39 $12,723.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 12:30pm ET $325.71 39 $12,702.88 $12,802.62 $-21.06
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
47 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:45am ET $318.53 40 $12,741.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:55am ET $305.62 40 $12,224.80 $12,286.22 $-516.40
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
48 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 10:40am ET $339.46 36 $12,220.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $336.30 36 $12,106.80 $12,172.46 $-113.76
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
49 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:45am ET $337.68 36 $12,156.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 10:55am ET $332.96 36 $11,986.56 $12,002.54 $-169.92
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
50 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:50am ET $329.36 36 $11,857.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $328.09 36 $11,811.24 $11,956.64 $-45.90
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
51 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $333.70 35 $11,679.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:05am ET $319.27 35 $11,174.62 $11,451.76 $-504.88
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
52 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $333.67 34 $11,344.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $332.65 34 $11,310.10 $11,417.00 $-34.76
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
53 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $338.48 33 $11,169.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $336.00 33 $11,088.00 $11,335.16 $-81.84
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
54 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:45am ET $335.70 33 $11,077.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:45am ET $335.82 33 $11,082.06 $11,339.29 +$4.13
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
23h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,339.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,339.29
Total Return: +13.39%
Back to Grace Crossover