SOXL Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-12-25 to present • 55 trades in period
-7.13%
Last 6 Months Return
$8,901.65
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$9,584.93
Period Start
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.
Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.8
Active
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality
4.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 4.0
30-Day Momentum
13
-23.5%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,330
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
123 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)
Market Closed (7 days)
2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,584.93
Current Value
$8,901.65
Period P&L
$-683.27
Max Drawdown
-51.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
55
Winners / Losers
20 /
35
Best Trade
+19.96%
Worst Trade
-20.17%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
14.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,154,960.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-683.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$-683.27
Gross Return
-7.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.13%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 123 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 55 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,584.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 10:55am ET | $43.86 | 218 | $9,561.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 12:40pm ET | $43.83 | 218 | $9,554.94 | $9,578.07 |
$-6.85 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 2:45pm ET | $42.09 | 227 | $9,554.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.50 | 227 | $10,781.61 | $10,805.62 |
+$1,227.55 (+12.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.49 | 202 | $10,804.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.15 | 202 | $10,534.30 | $10,534.94 |
$-270.68 (-2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 12:30pm ET | $49.90 | 211 | $10,528.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 1:40pm ET | $49.81 | 211 | $10,509.91 | $10,515.95 |
$-18.99 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.41 | 186 | $10,492.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.94 | 186 | $10,031.91 | $10,055.60 |
$-460.35 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $58.63 | 171 | $10,025.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 1:55pm ET | $58.36 | 171 | $9,979.56 | $10,009.43 |
$-46.17 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
54m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET | $62.26 | 160 | $9,961.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.83 | 160 | $9,732.00 | $9,779.83 |
$-229.60 (-2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:20pm ET | $60.87 | 160 | $9,738.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $65.82 | 160 | $10,531.04 | $10,572.29 |
+$792.46 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 11:00am ET | $70.38 | 150 | $10,557.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 11:30am ET | $69.15 | 150 | $10,372.50 | $10,387.78 |
$-184.51 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:40pm ET | $61.91 | 167 | $10,338.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 2:15pm ET | $61.70 | 167 | $10,303.90 | $10,352.71 |
$-35.07 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:25pm ET | $58.92 | 175 | $10,310.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $57.77 | 175 | $10,109.75 | $10,152.33 |
$-200.38 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:25am ET | $53.47 | 189 | $10,105.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:40pm ET | $53.11 | 189 | $10,037.79 | $10,084.29 |
$-68.04 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:50pm ET | $61.48 | 164 | $10,082.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:55pm ET | $61.07 | 164 | $10,015.48 | $10,017.54 |
$-66.75 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:20am ET | $63.95 | 156 | $9,976.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $63.45 | 156 | $9,898.20 | $9,939.54 |
$-78.00 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $63.76 | 155 | $9,882.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $63.59 | 155 | $9,856.45 | $9,913.96 |
$-25.58 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 11:25am ET | $65.35 | 151 | $9,867.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 11:40am ET | $64.77 | 151 | $9,780.27 | $9,826.38 |
$-87.58 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $66.84 | 147 | $9,825.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $66.62 | 147 | $9,793.14 | $9,794.04 |
$-32.34 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:45pm ET | $69.06 | 141 | $9,736.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.33 | 141 | $9,916.53 | $9,973.82 |
+$179.78 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $61.75 | 161 | $9,941.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.17 | 161 | $9,365.37 | $9,397.44 |
$-576.38 (-5.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:50am ET | $55.21 | 170 | $9,385.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 2:10pm ET | $54.13 | 170 | $9,202.10 | $9,213.84 |
$-183.60 (-2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:10pm ET | $52.83 | 174 | $9,192.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.29 | 174 | $8,750.46 | $8,771.90 |
$-441.94 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $47.74 | 183 | $8,737.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $52.11 | 183 | $9,536.13 | $9,570.70 |
+$798.80 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $56.32 | 169 | $9,518.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 11:40am ET | $56.46 | 169 | $9,541.74 | $9,594.36 |
+$23.66 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 12:05pm ET | $51.85 | 185 | $9,592.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $51.35 | 185 | $9,499.75 | $9,501.86 |
$-92.50 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $54.84 | 173 | $9,487.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $54.31 | 173 | $9,395.63 | $9,409.82 |
$-92.04 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 1:30pm ET | $55.77 | 168 | $9,369.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:45pm ET | $55.64 | 168 | $9,347.52 | $9,387.98 |
$-21.84 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $52.66 | 178 | $9,373.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $50.14 | 178 | $8,924.92 | $8,939.42 |
$-448.56 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.46 | 158 | $8,920.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 1:20pm ET | $56.88 | 158 | $8,987.04 | $9,005.78 |
+$66.36 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $48.20 | 186 | $8,965.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 12:30pm ET | $47.74 | 186 | $8,879.64 | $8,920.20 |
$-85.58 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.83 | 208 | $8,907.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET | $46.44 | 208 | $9,660.56 | $9,673.16 |
+$752.96 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $52.26 | 185 | $9,668.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $53.88 | 185 | $9,967.78 | $9,972.84 |
+$299.68 (+3.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $55.56 | 179 | $9,945.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.65 | 179 | $11,930.10 | $11,957.70 |
+$1,984.86 (+20.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $77.02 | 155 | $11,938.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 11:55am ET | $76.69 | 155 | $11,887.72 | $11,907.33 |
$-50.37 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:40am ET | $85.03 | 140 | $11,904.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:30am ET | $84.30 | 140 | $11,802.00 | $11,805.13 |
$-102.20 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:05pm ET | $88.09 | 134 | $11,804.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 2:55pm ET | $93.55 | 134 | $12,535.70 | $12,536.77 |
+$731.64 (+6.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:20am ET | $98.48 | 127 | $12,506.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $97.08 | 127 | $12,329.79 | $12,359.60 |
$-177.17 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.33 | 97 | $12,254.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $121.27 | 97 | $11,763.19 | $11,868.78 |
$-490.82 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.74 | 103 | $11,818.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 12:15pm ET | $114.89 | 103 | $11,833.67 | $11,884.23 |
+$15.45 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:15am ET | $127.52 | 93 | $11,859.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 10:35am ET | $130.22 | 93 | $12,110.46 | $12,135.33 |
+$251.10 (+2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.00 | 77 | $12,012.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $159.59 | 77 | $12,288.05 | $12,411.38 |
+$276.05 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 3:15pm ET | $186.13 | 66 | $12,284.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 1:10pm ET | $186.43 | 66 | $12,304.05 | $12,430.85 |
+$19.47 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 1:10pm ET | $169.37 | 73 | $12,364.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $159.97 | 73 | $11,678.06 | $11,744.90 |
$-685.95 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 3:10pm ET | $156.63 | 74 | $11,590.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 3:20pm ET | $155.21 | 74 | $11,485.91 | $11,640.19 |
$-104.71 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $212.87 | 54 | $11,494.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $214.25 | 54 | $11,569.50 | $11,714.71 |
+$74.52 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 12:20pm ET | $214.67 | 54 | $11,592.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 1:40pm ET | $212.32 | 54 | $11,465.02 | $11,587.55 |
$-127.16 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $230.93 | 50 | $11,546.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 10:45am ET | $220.17 | 50 | $11,008.50 | $11,049.55 |
$-538.00 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.40 | 45 | $10,818.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 11:55am ET | $261.01 | 45 | $11,745.23 | $11,976.78 |
+$927.23 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 12:55pm ET | $276.52 | 43 | $11,890.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.00 | 43 | $10,320.00 | $10,406.63 |
$-1,570.15 (-13.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.74 | 49 | $10,277.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $214.46 | 49 | $10,508.54 | $10,637.91 |
+$231.28 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $184.21 | 57 | $10,499.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 3:05pm ET | $199.38 | 57 | $11,364.65 | $11,502.59 |
+$864.68 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.54 | 59 | $11,477.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 12:55pm ET | $197.90 | 59 | $11,675.81 | $11,700.54 |
+$197.95 (+1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $264.52 | 44 | $11,638.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $265.45 | 44 | $11,679.58 | $11,741.46 |
+$40.92 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 2:40pm ET | $253.99 | 46 | $11,683.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET | $245.86 | 46 | $11,309.56 | $11,367.48 |
$-373.98 (-3.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 12:30pm ET | $293.63 | 38 | $11,157.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $234.40 | 38 | $8,907.20 | $9,116.93 |
$-2,250.55 (-20.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21h held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $232.14 | 39 | $9,053.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $226.62 | 39 | $8,838.18 | $8,901.65 |
$-215.28 (-2.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,901.65
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,098.35
Total Return:
-10.98%