SPXU Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 54 trades in period
-8.91%
Last 6 Months Return
$7,356.84
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$8,076.05
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality
2.7/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 2.7
30-Day Momentum
37
+3.3%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
3.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 43.4
Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,076.05
Current Value
$7,356.84
Period P&L
$-719.24
Max Drawdown
-29.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
18 /
36
Best Trade
+2.24%
Worst Trade
-4.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.23%
Avg Hold Time
18.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$801,354.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-719.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-719.24
Gross Return
-8.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.91%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,076.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:35pm ET | $56.57 | 147 | $8,315.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.67 | 147 | $8,036.49 | $8,080.47 |
$-279.30 (-3.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $61.12 | 132 | $8,067.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $60.90 | 132 | $8,038.80 | $8,051.44 |
$-29.03 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $55.03 | 146 | $8,034.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:40pm ET | $55.16 | 146 | $8,053.36 | $8,070.42 |
+$18.98 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $55.49 | 145 | $8,046.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $54.87 | 145 | $7,956.15 | $7,979.80 |
$-90.63 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $50.77 | 157 | $7,970.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $50.62 | 157 | $7,947.34 | $7,956.25 |
$-23.55 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $49.53 | 160 | $7,924.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET | $49.68 | 160 | $7,948.80 | $7,980.25 |
+$24.00 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $45.69 | 174 | $7,950.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $45.47 | 174 | $7,912.65 | $7,942.84 |
$-37.41 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $43.60 | 182 | $7,935.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $43.53 | 182 | $7,922.46 | $7,930.10 |
$-12.74 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $43.83 | 180 | $7,888.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $44.28 | 180 | $7,970.40 | $8,012.00 |
+$81.90 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $43.56 | 183 | $7,971.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:20am ET | $43.45 | 183 | $7,951.35 | $7,991.87 |
$-20.13 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $43.00 | 185 | $7,954.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $42.94 | 185 | $7,943.90 | $7,980.79 |
$-11.08 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:10am ET | $43.56 | 183 | $7,971.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET | $43.61 | 183 | $7,980.63 | $7,989.48 |
+$8.69 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $41.47 | 192 | $7,962.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:35pm ET | $41.43 | 192 | $7,954.56 | $7,981.80 |
$-7.68 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 2:25pm ET | $42.35 | 188 | $7,961.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.57 | 188 | $7,627.16 | $7,647.16 |
$-334.64 (-4.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.17 | 195 | $7,638.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 1:35pm ET | $38.63 | 195 | $7,531.88 | $7,540.89 |
$-106.27 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:10pm ET | $37.55 | 200 | $7,510.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 1:55pm ET | $37.44 | 200 | $7,488.02 | $7,518.91 |
$-21.98 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 2:35pm ET | $38.54 | 195 | $7,515.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 1:20pm ET | $39.15 | 195 | $7,633.28 | $7,636.87 |
+$117.96 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 2:45pm ET | $39.40 | 193 | $7,605.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $39.28 | 193 | $7,581.04 | $7,612.75 |
$-24.13 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 12:30pm ET | $38.90 | 195 | $7,585.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 1:10pm ET | $38.70 | 195 | $7,546.50 | $7,573.75 |
$-39.00 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 11:35am ET | $37.26 | 203 | $7,563.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 2:15pm ET | $37.28 | 203 | $7,567.84 | $7,577.81 |
+$4.06 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 2:50pm ET | $36.63 | 206 | $7,546.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $36.32 | 206 | $7,481.92 | $7,512.92 |
$-64.89 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $35.97 | 208 | $7,482.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 12:45pm ET | $35.93 | 208 | $7,473.46 | $7,503.58 |
$-9.34 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 3:10pm ET | $36.60 | 205 | $7,503.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $36.69 | 205 | $7,521.47 | $7,522.05 |
+$18.47 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 12:25pm ET | $38.44 | 195 | $7,495.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 2:30pm ET | $38.43 | 195 | $7,493.85 | $7,520.10 |
$-1.95 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $40.04 | 187 | $7,487.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $40.46 | 187 | $7,566.02 | $7,598.64 |
+$78.54 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET | $38.92 | 195 | $7,589.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 12:15pm ET | $38.48 | 195 | $7,503.60 | $7,512.84 |
$-85.80 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 11:40am ET | $37.71 | 199 | $7,504.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 2:15pm ET | $37.65 | 199 | $7,492.33 | $7,500.88 |
$-11.96 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 12:40pm ET | $38.62 | 194 | $7,492.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.18 | 194 | $7,406.92 | $7,415.52 |
$-85.36 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 1:50pm ET | $39.05 | 189 | $7,380.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 10:05am ET | $37.44 | 189 | $7,076.14 | $7,111.21 |
$-304.31 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 1:00pm ET | $36.92 | 192 | $7,087.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $36.51 | 192 | $7,009.92 | $7,033.45 |
$-77.76 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:50pm ET | $36.93 | 190 | $7,016.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:40pm ET | $36.48 | 190 | $6,931.20 | $6,947.95 |
$-85.50 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.34 | 191 | $6,940.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 12:45pm ET | $36.49 | 191 | $6,969.59 | $6,976.60 |
+$28.65 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 3:20pm ET | $36.26 | 192 | $6,961.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 3:30pm ET | $36.20 | 192 | $6,950.40 | $6,965.08 |
$-11.52 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 12:25pm ET | $37.49 | 185 | $6,935.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.17 | 185 | $6,876.45 | $6,905.86 |
$-59.22 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $37.05 | 186 | $6,891.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 2:45pm ET | $36.99 | 186 | $6,879.21 | $6,893.77 |
$-12.09 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 1:35pm ET | $38.60 | 178 | $6,870.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.53 | 178 | $6,858.34 | $6,881.33 |
$-12.44 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 2:35pm ET | $38.83 | 177 | $6,872.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $38.74 | 177 | $6,856.98 | $6,865.40 |
$-15.93 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $38.20 | 179 | $6,837.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 1:05pm ET | $39.06 | 179 | $6,990.85 | $7,018.44 |
+$153.04 (+2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET | $38.29 | 183 | $7,007.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 10:50am ET | $37.94 | 183 | $6,943.02 | $6,953.48 |
$-64.96 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 3:35pm ET | $33.75 | 206 | $6,952.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $34.12 | 206 | $7,027.69 | $7,028.67 |
+$75.19 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $33.63 | 208 | $6,995.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 3:40pm ET | $33.92 | 208 | $7,056.40 | $7,090.03 |
+$61.36 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:30am ET | $33.23 | 213 | $7,077.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 2:20pm ET | $33.27 | 213 | $7,086.51 | $7,098.57 |
+$8.54 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 1:25pm ET | $34.33 | 206 | $7,071.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 2:40pm ET | $34.32 | 206 | $7,069.84 | $7,096.61 |
$-1.96 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.92 | 203 | $7,089.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $34.91 | 203 | $7,086.73 | $7,093.57 |
$-3.04 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 3:25pm ET | $34.81 | 203 | $7,067.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 11:45am ET | $34.69 | 203 | $7,042.07 | $7,068.52 |
$-25.05 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 2:05pm ET | $34.10 | 207 | $7,057.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 3:45pm ET | $34.09 | 207 | $7,056.63 | $7,067.48 |
$-1.04 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.58 | 204 | $7,054.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 11:45am ET | $34.97 | 204 | $7,132.86 | $7,146.02 |
+$78.54 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $34.94 | 204 | $7,126.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 1:00pm ET | $34.84 | 204 | $7,108.18 | $7,127.46 |
$-18.56 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 1:15pm ET | $34.22 | 208 | $7,118.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 2:45pm ET | $34.26 | 208 | $7,126.08 | $7,134.74 |
+$7.28 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $35.32 | 202 | $7,134.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 1:00pm ET | $35.78 | 202 | $7,228.17 | $7,228.27 |
+$93.53 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.2h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 2:20pm ET | $34.95 | 206 | $7,199.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 11:40am ET | $35.53 | 206 | $7,318.15 | $7,346.72 |
+$118.45 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 2:45pm ET | $36.13 | 203 | $7,333.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 3:00pm ET | $36.08 | 203 | $7,324.24 | $7,337.59 |
$-9.13 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 1:20pm ET | $33.69 | 217 | $7,309.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 1:25pm ET | $33.63 | 217 | $7,298.79 | $7,326.74 |
$-10.85 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 2:40pm ET | $33.99 | 215 | $7,308.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET | $34.13 | 215 | $7,339.02 | $7,356.84 |
+$30.10 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,356.84
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,643.16
Total Return:
-26.43%