TSLA Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 54 trades in period
+8.86%
Last 6 Months Return
$8,761.98
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$8,048.86
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality
3.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 3.9
30-Day Momentum
68
+14.5%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
5.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 78.6
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+65 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,048.86
Current Value
$8,761.98
Period P&L
$713.06
Max Drawdown
-26.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
16 /
38
Best Trade
+8.07%
Worst Trade
-4.14%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
20h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$802,191.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$713.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$713.06
Gross Return
+8.86%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.86%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,048.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $367.80 | 21 | $7,723.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $361.16 | 21 | $7,584.36 | $7,909.38 |
$-139.54 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET | $380.13 | 20 | $7,602.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $364.39 | 20 | $7,287.80 | $7,594.58 |
$-314.80 (-4.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 2:45pm ET | $351.27 | 21 | $7,376.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $345.43 | 21 | $7,254.03 | $7,472.04 |
$-122.54 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 12:05pm ET | $348.54 | 21 | $7,319.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 12:15pm ET | $346.68 | 21 | $7,280.28 | $7,432.89 |
$-39.15 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $346.64 | 21 | $7,279.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $345.77 | 21 | $7,261.17 | $7,414.62 |
$-18.27 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $356.93 | 20 | $7,138.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET | $364.84 | 20 | $7,296.80 | $7,572.82 |
+$158.20 (+2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:25pm ET | $388.86 | 19 | $7,388.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 1:35pm ET | $387.96 | 19 | $7,371.24 | $7,555.63 |
$-17.19 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $392.92 | 19 | $7,465.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:30am ET | $389.96 | 19 | $7,409.24 | $7,499.39 |
$-56.24 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $377.82 | 19 | $7,178.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 12:50pm ET | $376.88 | 19 | $7,160.72 | $7,481.53 |
$-17.86 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $375.41 | 19 | $7,132.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $371.13 | 19 | $7,051.47 | $7,400.21 |
$-81.32 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $378.99 | 19 | $7,200.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $378.00 | 19 | $7,182.00 | $7,381.40 |
$-18.81 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 1:10pm ET | $372.91 | 19 | $7,085.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $371.64 | 19 | $7,061.07 | $7,357.18 |
$-24.22 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 12:55pm ET | $389.46 | 18 | $7,010.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $391.77 | 18 | $7,051.95 | $7,398.85 |
+$41.67 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $407.77 | 18 | $7,339.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $408.73 | 18 | $7,357.14 | $7,416.13 |
+$17.28 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 2:25pm ET | $428.59 | 17 | $7,286.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $426.59 | 17 | $7,252.03 | $7,382.13 |
$-34.00 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 2:05pm ET | $449.19 | 16 | $7,186.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $447.03 | 16 | $7,152.55 | $7,347.69 |
$-34.44 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 1:15pm ET | $426.92 | 17 | $7,257.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $425.39 | 17 | $7,231.63 | $7,321.68 |
$-26.01 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 3:15pm ET | $409.30 | 17 | $6,958.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $402.28 | 17 | $6,838.76 | $7,202.34 |
$-119.34 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $424.02 | 16 | $6,784.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 1:10pm ET | $426.94 | 16 | $6,831.04 | $7,249.06 |
+$46.72 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $441.14 | 16 | $7,058.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 2:15pm ET | $441.29 | 16 | $7,060.64 | $7,251.46 |
+$2.40 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 1:50pm ET | $421.34 | 17 | $7,162.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $419.88 | 17 | $7,137.88 | $7,226.56 |
$-24.90 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $422.27 | 17 | $7,178.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 11:45am ET | $426.07 | 17 | $7,243.19 | $7,291.17 |
+$64.61 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 1:25pm ET | $420.28 | 17 | $7,144.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 1:40pm ET | $418.42 | 17 | $7,113.06 | $7,259.47 |
$-31.70 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 2:05pm ET | $385.15 | 18 | $6,932.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 12:55pm ET | $384.92 | 18 | $6,928.56 | $7,255.33 |
$-4.14 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 1:20pm ET | $410.25 | 17 | $6,974.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 2:45pm ET | $410.01 | 17 | $6,970.17 | $7,251.25 |
$-4.08 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 12:05pm ET | $401.26 | 18 | $7,222.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $399.56 | 18 | $7,192.08 | $7,220.65 |
$-30.60 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 2:15pm ET | $408.32 | 17 | $6,941.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $391.91 | 17 | $6,662.47 | $6,941.68 |
$-278.97 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $382.57 | 18 | $6,886.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $375.28 | 18 | $6,755.04 | $6,810.46 |
$-131.22 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $375.45 | 18 | $6,758.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 2:10pm ET | $383.55 | 18 | $6,903.99 | $6,956.44 |
+$145.98 (+2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $396.24 | 17 | $6,736.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 1:55pm ET | $414.29 | 17 | $7,042.93 | $7,263.29 |
+$306.85 (+4.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 12:50pm ET | $394.36 | 18 | $7,098.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:45pm ET | $404.91 | 18 | $7,288.38 | $7,453.19 |
+$189.90 (+2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 2:30pm ET | $396.41 | 18 | $7,135.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $392.46 | 18 | $7,064.37 | $7,382.18 |
$-71.01 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $383.94 | 19 | $7,294.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 1:10pm ET | $380.08 | 19 | $7,221.52 | $7,308.92 |
$-73.26 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 3:30pm ET | $309.38 | 23 | $7,115.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $308.98 | 23 | $7,106.65 | $7,299.83 |
$-9.09 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 2:30pm ET | $307.45 | 23 | $7,071.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 2:35pm ET | $302.13 | 23 | $6,948.99 | $7,177.51 |
$-122.32 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:50am ET | $309.78 | 23 | $7,124.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 3:25pm ET | $310.18 | 23 | $7,134.14 | $7,186.71 |
+$9.20 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $323.80 | 22 | $7,123.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $321.95 | 22 | $7,082.90 | $7,146.01 |
$-40.70 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $321.81 | 22 | $7,079.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 11:45am ET | $320.54 | 22 | $7,051.88 | $7,118.07 |
$-27.94 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 3:05pm ET | $329.63 | 21 | $6,922.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 3:20pm ET | $329.00 | 21 | $6,909.00 | $7,104.84 |
$-13.23 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 12:20pm ET | $326.65 | 21 | $6,859.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 10:55am ET | $341.47 | 21 | $7,170.87 | $7,416.02 |
+$311.18 (+4.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 10:55am ET | $341.26 | 21 | $7,166.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $340.10 | 21 | $7,142.10 | $7,391.66 |
$-24.36 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 3:35pm ET | $337.05 | 21 | $7,078.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 12:55pm ET | $364.25 | 21 | $7,649.25 | $7,962.83 |
+$571.17 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $356.64 | 22 | $7,846.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 10:50am ET | $350.35 | 22 | $7,707.70 | $7,824.34 |
$-138.49 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 1:05pm ET | $345.19 | 22 | $7,594.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 2:15pm ET | $344.69 | 22 | $7,583.16 | $7,813.32 |
$-11.02 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 3:25pm ET | $347.20 | 22 | $7,638.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 2:45pm ET | $365.80 | 22 | $8,047.60 | $8,222.41 |
+$409.09 (+5.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $355.26 | 23 | $8,170.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 2:35pm ET | $381.57 | 23 | $8,776.11 | $8,827.62 |
+$605.21 (+7.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $367.18 | 24 | $8,812.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 12:10pm ET | $369.84 | 24 | $8,876.16 | $8,891.46 |
+$63.84 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 12:45pm ET | $367.11 | 24 | $8,810.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 1:55pm ET | $365.05 | 24 | $8,761.20 | $8,842.02 |
$-49.44 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 11:20am ET | $360.38 | 24 | $8,649.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 12:50pm ET | $359.59 | 24 | $8,630.16 | $8,823.06 |
$-18.96 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 12:50pm ET | $362.66 | 24 | $8,703.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $361.75 | 24 | $8,681.95 | $8,801.17 |
$-21.89 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $367.80 | 23 | $8,459.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 2:15pm ET | $367.31 | 23 | $8,448.06 | $8,789.83 |
$-11.34 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $365.00 | 24 | $8,760.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $373.79 | 24 | $8,970.96 | $9,000.79 |
+$210.96 (+2.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $381.45 | 23 | $8,773.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 3:45pm ET | $379.59 | 23 | $8,730.57 | $8,958.01 |
$-42.78 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $379.96 | 23 | $8,739.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2026 12:35pm ET | $371.44 | 23 | $8,543.17 | $8,761.98 |
$-196.03 (-2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,761.98
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,238.02
Total Return:
-12.38%