VTI Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 55 trades in period
+7.35%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,264.11
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$9,561.02
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
4.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
11.7/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 11.6
30-Day Momentum
37
+2.5%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.5
Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,561.02
Current Value
$10,264.11
Period P&L
$703.15
Max Drawdown
-11.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
55
Winners / Losers
23 /
32
Best Trade
+3.92%
Worst Trade
-1.35%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
22.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,057,268.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$703.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$703.15
Gross Return
+7.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.35%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 55 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,561.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $326.60 | 29 | $9,471.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 2:35pm ET | $325.54 | 29 | $9,440.66 | $9,530.22 |
$-30.74 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $315.08 | 30 | $9,452.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:05am ET | $313.63 | 30 | $9,408.90 | $9,486.72 |
$-43.50 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:45pm ET | $323.83 | 29 | $9,391.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:50pm ET | $323.39 | 29 | $9,378.31 | $9,473.96 |
$-12.76 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $324.82 | 29 | $9,419.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:40pm ET | $323.71 | 29 | $9,387.59 | $9,441.77 |
$-32.19 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 3:10pm ET | $335.55 | 28 | $9,395.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $335.52 | 28 | $9,394.56 | $9,440.79 |
$-0.98 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET | $342.31 | 27 | $9,242.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $343.48 | 27 | $9,273.83 | $9,472.25 |
+$31.46 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:50pm ET | $345.90 | 27 | $9,339.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $350.45 | 27 | $9,462.15 | $9,595.10 |
+$122.85 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $349.25 | 27 | $9,429.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET | $350.33 | 27 | $9,458.91 | $9,624.26 |
+$29.16 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET | $350.15 | 27 | $9,454.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:35pm ET | $349.20 | 27 | $9,428.53 | $9,598.74 |
$-25.52 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $352.17 | 27 | $9,508.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $351.88 | 27 | $9,500.76 | $9,591.04 |
$-7.70 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 1:35pm ET | $350.23 | 27 | $9,456.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $350.09 | 27 | $9,452.40 | $9,587.36 |
$-3.68 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET | $356.36 | 26 | $9,265.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:10pm ET | $356.01 | 26 | $9,256.26 | $9,578.38 |
$-8.98 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $359.23 | 26 | $9,339.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $361.86 | 26 | $9,408.36 | $9,646.76 |
+$68.38 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 3:45pm ET | $362.85 | 26 | $9,433.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 12:55pm ET | $363.74 | 26 | $9,457.24 | $9,670.03 |
+$23.27 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 1:20pm ET | $360.98 | 26 | $9,385.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 1:10pm ET | $367.22 | 26 | $9,547.72 | $9,832.40 |
+$162.37 (+1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 10:20am ET | $363.57 | 27 | $9,816.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 1:40pm ET | $361.46 | 27 | $9,759.55 | $9,775.56 |
$-56.84 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $361.54 | 27 | $9,761.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $362.52 | 27 | $9,788.04 | $9,802.05 |
+$26.49 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $369.29 | 26 | $9,601.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:40am ET | $369.00 | 26 | $9,594.00 | $9,794.51 |
$-7.54 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 2:10pm ET | $369.15 | 26 | $9,597.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $369.15 | 26 | $9,597.90 | $9,794.51 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 11:10am ET | $372.50 | 26 | $9,685.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $372.08 | 26 | $9,674.08 | $9,783.59 |
$-10.92 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:05pm ET | $374.27 | 26 | $9,731.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.71 | 26 | $9,716.42 | $9,768.99 |
$-14.60 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $371.91 | 26 | $9,669.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.71 | 26 | $9,638.46 | $9,737.79 |
$-31.20 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $365.52 | 26 | $9,503.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 12:30pm ET | $366.14 | 26 | $9,519.51 | $9,753.78 |
+$15.99 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $360.84 | 27 | $9,742.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 10:55am ET | $358.99 | 27 | $9,692.73 | $9,703.90 |
$-49.88 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 12:15pm ET | $366.53 | 26 | $9,529.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET | $366.20 | 26 | $9,521.07 | $9,695.19 |
$-8.71 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $372.92 | 25 | $9,323.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:00am ET | $372.61 | 25 | $9,315.37 | $9,687.44 |
$-7.75 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 10:20am ET | $371.10 | 26 | $9,648.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $370.71 | 26 | $9,638.46 | $9,677.30 |
$-10.14 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 2:10pm ET | $369.16 | 26 | $9,598.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $364.18 | 26 | $9,468.68 | $9,547.82 |
$-129.48 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 11:45am ET | $365.00 | 26 | $9,490.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 12:30pm ET | $364.35 | 26 | $9,473.10 | $9,530.92 |
$-16.90 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $364.75 | 26 | $9,483.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $368.66 | 26 | $9,585.16 | $9,632.58 |
+$101.66 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $370.80 | 25 | $9,270.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 1:35pm ET | $371.40 | 25 | $9,284.88 | $9,647.46 |
+$14.88 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 12:30pm ET | $367.14 | 26 | $9,545.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $371.35 | 26 | $9,655.10 | $9,756.92 |
+$109.46 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.68 | 26 | $9,637.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 2:50pm ET | $371.13 | 26 | $9,649.38 | $9,768.62 |
+$11.70 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 3:40pm ET | $372.07 | 26 | $9,673.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $371.24 | 26 | $9,652.37 | $9,747.17 |
$-21.45 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 12:00pm ET | $368.81 | 26 | $9,589.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 12:25pm ET | $367.97 | 26 | $9,567.22 | $9,725.33 |
$-21.84 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 2:20pm ET | $367.93 | 26 | $9,566.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $368.67 | 26 | $9,585.29 | $9,744.44 |
+$19.11 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $365.13 | 26 | $9,493.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 12:50pm ET | $364.51 | 26 | $9,477.13 | $9,728.19 |
$-16.25 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $366.49 | 26 | $9,528.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $364.57 | 26 | $9,478.82 | $9,678.14 |
$-50.05 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $365.20 | 26 | $9,495.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 1:45pm ET | $365.90 | 26 | $9,513.49 | $9,696.43 |
+$18.29 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $364.26 | 26 | $9,470.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $363.02 | 26 | $9,438.52 | $9,664.19 |
$-32.24 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 11:40am ET | $366.22 | 26 | $9,521.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $380.59 | 26 | $9,895.34 | $10,037.81 |
+$373.62 (+3.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.1d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $380.50 | 26 | $9,893.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 12:30pm ET | $380.83 | 26 | $9,901.58 | $10,046.39 |
+$8.58 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 3:00pm ET | $381.70 | 26 | $9,924.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 11:15am ET | $381.63 | 26 | $9,922.38 | $10,044.57 |
$-1.82 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $382.67 | 26 | $9,949.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 11:30am ET | $383.51 | 26 | $9,971.13 | $10,066.28 |
+$21.71 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 12:55pm ET | $379.95 | 26 | $9,878.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 1:00pm ET | $379.80 | 26 | $9,874.67 | $10,062.30 |
$-3.98 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 3:25pm ET | $380.33 | 26 | $9,888.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 1:25pm ET | $378.31 | 26 | $9,836.06 | $10,009.65 |
$-52.65 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $377.45 | 26 | $9,813.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 10:45am ET | $377.42 | 26 | $9,813.05 | $10,009.00 |
$-0.65 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 11:45am ET | $378.29 | 26 | $9,835.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 11:55am ET | $380.55 | 26 | $9,894.43 | $10,067.89 |
+$58.89 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 1:20pm ET | $377.52 | 26 | $9,815.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 1:25pm ET | $377.45 | 26 | $9,813.57 | $10,066.05 |
$-1.84 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $375.45 | 26 | $9,761.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $376.76 | 26 | $9,795.76 | $10,100.11 |
+$34.06 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 2:45pm ET | $379.64 | 26 | $9,870.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $379.43 | 26 | $9,865.18 | $10,094.71 |
$-5.40 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 1:05pm ET | $373.87 | 27 | $10,094.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $373.58 | 27 | $10,086.79 | $10,087.01 |
$-7.70 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 11:40am ET | $374.85 | 26 | $9,746.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 3:00pm ET | $375.29 | 26 | $9,757.54 | $10,098.38 |
+$11.37 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.88 | 27 | $10,094.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 12:55pm ET | $374.19 | 27 | $10,103.13 | $10,106.75 |
+$8.37 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:00pm ET | $375.27 | 26 | $9,756.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:30am ET | $381.32 | 26 | $9,914.25 | $10,264.11 |
+$157.36 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,264.11
Net Profit/Loss:
+$264.11
Total Return:
+2.64%