XOM Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 57 trades in period
+9.54%
Last 6 Months Return
$13,064.81
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$11,926.96
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
36
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
13.9/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
36.1/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 35.5
30-Day Momentum
42
+7.1%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
6.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 53.4
Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,926.96
Current Value
$13,064.81
Period P&L
$1,137.95
Max Drawdown
-7.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
57
Winners / Losers
19 /
38
Best Trade
+4.42%
Worst Trade
-2.91%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
18.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,351,903.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,137.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,137.95
Gross Return
+9.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.54%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 57 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,926.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:25am ET | $164.35 | 72 | $11,833.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $163.71 | 72 | $11,786.76 | $11,880.42 |
$-46.44 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $170.67 | 69 | $11,776.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:30pm ET | $173.38 | 69 | $11,963.22 | $12,067.41 |
+$186.99 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:35pm ET | $169.14 | 71 | $12,008.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.98 | 71 | $11,855.58 | $11,914.05 |
$-153.36 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.68 | 72 | $11,856.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $161.93 | 72 | $11,658.96 | $11,716.05 |
$-198.00 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $154.29 | 75 | $11,571.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $156.99 | 75 | $11,774.62 | $11,919.30 |
+$203.25 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.54 | 77 | $11,822.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $152.59 | 77 | $11,749.05 | $11,846.15 |
$-73.15 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:25pm ET | $148.74 | 79 | $11,750.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:30pm ET | $149.45 | 79 | $11,806.55 | $11,902.24 |
+$56.09 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:35pm ET | $144.62 | 82 | $11,858.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:05pm ET | $148.00 | 82 | $12,136.00 | $12,179.40 |
+$277.16 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $149.45 | 81 | $12,105.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $149.26 | 81 | $12,089.66 | $12,163.60 |
$-15.80 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.36 | 79 | $12,036.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:35pm ET | $153.96 | 79 | $12,162.84 | $12,290.00 |
+$126.40 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:50pm ET | $154.62 | 79 | $12,214.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.22 | 79 | $12,025.14 | $12,100.16 |
$-189.84 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $153.15 | 79 | $12,098.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $153.64 | 79 | $12,137.56 | $12,138.87 |
+$38.71 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 2:00pm ET | $148.38 | 81 | $12,018.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.44 | 81 | $11,780.64 | $11,900.73 |
$-238.14 (-2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 12:20pm ET | $145.32 | 81 | $11,770.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 2:35pm ET | $144.74 | 81 | $11,724.15 | $11,853.96 |
$-46.77 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 2:30pm ET | $151.07 | 78 | $11,783.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $150.71 | 78 | $11,755.38 | $11,825.49 |
$-28.47 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 3:50pm ET | $152.73 | 77 | $11,760.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $155.44 | 77 | $11,968.88 | $12,034.16 |
+$208.67 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.7d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:50am ET | $161.18 | 74 | $11,927.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $161.95 | 74 | $11,984.30 | $12,091.14 |
+$56.98 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 1:55pm ET | $154.38 | 78 | $12,041.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.70 | 78 | $11,988.60 | $12,038.10 |
$-53.04 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 11:20am ET | $148.34 | 81 | $12,015.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 2:30pm ET | $148.06 | 81 | $11,992.86 | $12,015.82 |
$-22.28 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $147.46 | 81 | $11,944.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 2:45pm ET | $145.46 | 81 | $11,782.66 | $11,853.82 |
$-162.00 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $151.30 | 78 | $11,801.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $153.82 | 78 | $11,998.35 | $12,050.77 |
+$196.95 (+1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $151.26 | 79 | $11,949.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 1:50pm ET | $150.21 | 79 | $11,866.59 | $11,967.82 |
$-82.95 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 2:00pm ET | $151.74 | 78 | $11,835.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 3:20pm ET | $151.54 | 78 | $11,820.12 | $11,952.22 |
$-15.60 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $150.46 | 79 | $11,886.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 2:10pm ET | $151.53 | 79 | $11,970.87 | $12,036.36 |
+$84.14 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $148.38 | 81 | $12,019.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 11:20am ET | $147.97 | 81 | $11,985.57 | $12,002.75 |
$-33.61 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $141.71 | 84 | $11,903.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $141.21 | 84 | $11,861.22 | $11,960.75 |
$-42.00 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 2:35pm ET | $141.33 | 84 | $11,871.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 3:00pm ET | $140.84 | 84 | $11,830.56 | $11,919.59 |
$-41.16 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 1:15pm ET | $137.09 | 86 | $11,789.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $136.76 | 86 | $11,761.36 | $11,891.21 |
$-28.38 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 3:30pm ET | $140.11 | 84 | $11,769.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $136.03 | 84 | $11,426.51 | $11,548.49 |
$-342.72 (-2.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 2:00pm ET | $137.20 | 84 | $11,524.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 3:35pm ET | $137.16 | 84 | $11,521.44 | $11,545.13 |
$-3.36 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 3:40pm ET | $136.47 | 84 | $11,463.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:45pm ET | $136.28 | 84 | $11,447.52 | $11,529.17 |
$-15.96 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 11:10am ET | $136.29 | 84 | $11,448.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 12:45pm ET | $136.01 | 84 | $11,424.84 | $11,505.65 |
$-23.52 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.50 | 83 | $11,412.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 11:35am ET | $137.29 | 83 | $11,395.07 | $11,488.22 |
$-17.43 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:35am ET | $136.76 | 84 | $11,487.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 3:10pm ET | $136.60 | 84 | $11,474.40 | $11,474.78 |
$-13.44 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 2:20pm ET | $141.25 | 81 | $11,441.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.52 | 81 | $11,301.12 | $11,334.65 |
$-140.13 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $138.08 | 82 | $11,322.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $137.45 | 82 | $11,270.49 | $11,282.38 |
$-52.27 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.60 | 77 | $11,211.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 12:40pm ET | $144.55 | 77 | $11,130.73 | $11,201.91 |
$-80.47 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 12:40pm ET | $143.38 | 78 | $11,183.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 12:50pm ET | $145.95 | 78 | $11,383.71 | $11,401.75 |
+$199.84 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 2:25pm ET | $148.14 | 76 | $11,258.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 2:40pm ET | $147.87 | 76 | $11,238.12 | $11,381.23 |
$-20.52 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $148.77 | 76 | $11,306.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 1:00pm ET | $150.65 | 76 | $11,449.02 | $11,523.73 |
+$142.50 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 2:35pm ET | $157.64 | 73 | $11,507.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 3:15pm ET | $157.45 | 73 | $11,493.85 | $11,509.86 |
$-13.87 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $155.10 | 74 | $11,477.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 12:25pm ET | $154.33 | 74 | $11,420.42 | $11,452.80 |
$-57.06 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 2:00pm ET | $153.10 | 74 | $11,329.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 12:30pm ET | $157.24 | 74 | $11,635.39 | $11,758.42 |
+$305.62 (+2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 12:50pm ET | $155.28 | 75 | $11,646.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 1:25pm ET | $154.93 | 75 | $11,619.75 | $11,732.17 |
$-26.25 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.09 | 76 | $11,710.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.49 | 76 | $11,589.24 | $11,610.57 |
$-121.60 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.97 | 74 | $11,467.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $159.33 | 74 | $11,790.42 | $11,933.21 |
+$322.64 (+2.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6.1h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 3:45pm ET | $159.97 | 74 | $11,837.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 3:35pm ET | $159.63 | 74 | $11,812.62 | $11,908.05 |
$-25.16 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 3:35pm ET | $158.74 | 75 | $11,905.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $160.66 | 75 | $12,049.50 | $12,052.43 |
+$144.38 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.74 | 73 | $12,026.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 11:45am ET | $166.95 | 73 | $12,187.36 | $12,213.77 |
+$161.34 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $165.51 | 73 | $12,082.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 3:10pm ET | $165.30 | 73 | $12,066.90 | $12,198.44 |
$-15.33 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 12:35pm ET | $162.02 | 75 | $12,151.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 1:50pm ET | $161.77 | 75 | $12,132.75 | $12,179.69 |
$-18.75 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:55am ET | $157.06 | 77 | $12,093.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $164.00 | 77 | $12,628.00 | $12,714.07 |
+$534.38 (+4.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.9d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $161.10 | 78 | $12,565.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $164.27 | 78 | $12,813.06 | $12,961.33 |
+$247.26 (+2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 11:50am ET | $165.56 | 78 | $12,913.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 1:10pm ET | $165.20 | 78 | $12,885.21 | $12,932.86 |
$-28.47 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $164.88 | 78 | $12,860.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:30pm ET | $164.44 | 78 | $12,826.32 | $12,898.54 |
$-34.32 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 2:10pm ET | $162.79 | 79 | $12,860.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 2:45pm ET | $162.68 | 79 | $12,851.33 | $12,889.85 |
$-8.69 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 57 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $158.80 | 81 | $12,862.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 3:00pm ET | $160.96 | 81 | $13,037.76 | $13,064.81 |
+$174.96 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,064.81
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,064.81
Total Return:
+30.65%