AMD Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 41 trades in period
+9.32%
Year to Date Return
$9,281.74
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$8,490.64
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
4.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 4.8
30-Day Momentum
74
+17.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
8.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 84.7
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+69 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,318
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,490.64
Current Value
$9,281.74
Period P&L
$791.02
Max Drawdown
-38.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
16 /
25
Best Trade
+8.37%
Worst Trade
-12.17%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
14.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$663,197.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$791.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$791.02
Gross Return
+9.32%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.32%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,490.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 1:30pm ET | $221.33 | 38 | $8,410.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $224.79 | 38 | $8,542.02 | $8,622.41 |
+$131.67 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 1:25pm ET | $213.73 | 40 | $8,549.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $207.93 | 40 | $8,317.20 | $8,390.41 |
$-232.00 (-2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:25pm ET | $204.61 | 41 | $8,388.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $204.36 | 41 | $8,378.56 | $8,380.16 |
$-10.25 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:30pm ET | $209.17 | 40 | $8,366.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:25pm ET | $208.69 | 40 | $8,347.60 | $8,360.96 |
$-19.20 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
54m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $222.23 | 37 | $8,222.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 12:25pm ET | $221.31 | 37 | $8,188.47 | $8,327.10 |
$-33.85 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $232.88 | 35 | $8,150.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $231.38 | 35 | $8,098.30 | $8,274.60 |
$-52.50 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $238.65 | 34 | $8,114.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $245.30 | 34 | $8,340.20 | $8,500.70 |
+$226.10 (+2.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $254.28 | 33 | $8,391.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:20pm ET | $253.26 | 33 | $8,357.60 | $8,467.06 |
$-33.64 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 12:20pm ET | $253.31 | 33 | $8,359.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 1:10pm ET | $252.50 | 33 | $8,332.34 | $8,440.17 |
$-26.89 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:15pm ET | $251.84 | 33 | $8,310.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $252.36 | 33 | $8,327.88 | $8,457.33 |
+$17.16 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:20pm ET | $248.61 | 34 | $8,452.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.24 | 34 | $8,201.99 | $8,206.75 |
$-250.58 (-3.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $244.04 | 33 | $8,053.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 1:35pm ET | $247.34 | 33 | $8,162.24 | $8,315.84 |
+$109.09 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 2:35pm ET | $241.00 | 34 | $8,194.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.66 | 34 | $7,196.44 | $7,318.28 |
$-997.56 (-12.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.40 | 36 | $7,250.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:05pm ET | $207.09 | 36 | $7,455.17 | $7,523.04 |
+$204.77 (+2.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $216.81 | 34 | $7,371.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $214.72 | 34 | $7,300.48 | $7,451.98 |
$-71.06 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 11:20am ET | $214.27 | 34 | $7,285.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 11:25am ET | $212.53 | 34 | $7,226.02 | $7,392.82 |
$-59.16 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $202.68 | 36 | $7,296.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET | $201.46 | 36 | $7,252.56 | $7,349.08 |
$-43.74 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $200.53 | 36 | $7,219.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 11:50am ET | $201.28 | 36 | $7,246.08 | $7,376.08 |
+$27.00 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 1:50pm ET | $201.10 | 36 | $7,239.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 2:15pm ET | $214.02 | 36 | $7,704.72 | $7,841.20 |
+$465.12 (+6.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 3:40pm ET | $203.60 | 38 | $7,736.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $199.93 | 38 | $7,597.15 | $7,701.55 |
$-139.65 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 11:40am ET | $196.43 | 39 | $7,660.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 1:55pm ET | $196.54 | 39 | $7,665.06 | $7,705.84 |
+$4.29 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $202.99 | 37 | $7,510.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $200.62 | 37 | $7,422.76 | $7,617.97 |
$-87.87 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $193.75 | 39 | $7,556.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $203.93 | 39 | $7,953.27 | $8,014.80 |
+$396.83 (+5.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 3:40pm ET | $205.01 | 39 | $7,995.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $202.95 | 39 | $7,915.05 | $7,934.46 |
$-80.34 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $199.16 | 39 | $7,767.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $197.37 | 39 | $7,697.24 | $7,864.26 |
$-70.20 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 1:20pm ET | $198.90 | 39 | $7,757.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 1:25pm ET | $198.52 | 39 | $7,742.28 | $7,849.44 |
$-14.82 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $196.90 | 39 | $7,679.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $196.27 | 39 | $7,654.72 | $7,825.15 |
$-24.30 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:55am ET | $198.74 | 39 | $7,750.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $202.06 | 39 | $7,880.34 | $7,954.64 |
+$129.50 (+1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $201.55 | 39 | $7,860.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:25pm ET | $201.22 | 39 | $7,847.51 | $7,941.51 |
$-13.13 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $198.05 | 40 | $7,922.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 11:45am ET | $198.62 | 40 | $7,944.80 | $7,964.11 |
+$22.60 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:25pm ET | $211.85 | 37 | $7,838.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:40pm ET | $210.66 | 37 | $7,794.60 | $7,920.26 |
$-43.85 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:50am ET | $220.58 | 35 | $7,720.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 12:45pm ET | $220.10 | 35 | $7,703.50 | $7,903.46 |
$-16.80 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:25pm ET | $218.98 | 36 | $7,883.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET | $231.78 | 36 | $8,344.08 | $8,364.26 |
+$460.80 (+5.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $245.82 | 34 | $8,357.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:10pm ET | $245.27 | 34 | $8,339.18 | $8,345.56 |
$-18.70 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $254.76 | 32 | $8,152.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $276.10 | 32 | $8,835.20 | $9,028.28 |
+$682.72 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $278.64 | 32 | $8,916.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 2:30pm ET | $278.48 | 32 | $8,911.20 | $9,023.00 |
$-5.28 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $274.46 | 32 | $8,782.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:30pm ET | $281.23 | 32 | $8,999.36 | $9,239.66 |
+$216.66 (+2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $336.83 | 27 | $9,094.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $335.51 | 27 | $9,058.64 | $9,203.75 |
$-35.91 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $326.58 | 28 | $9,144.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 12:15pm ET | $327.35 | 28 | $9,165.66 | $9,225.17 |
+$21.42 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:20am ET | $354.17 | 26 | $9,208.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:50pm ET | $358.08 | 26 | $9,309.95 | $9,326.70 |
+$101.53 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:45pm ET | $343.77 | 27 | $9,281.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $342.11 | 27 | $9,236.97 | $9,281.74 |
$-44.96 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,281.74
Net Profit/Loss:
$-718.26
Total Return:
-7.18%