META Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 39 trades in period
+11.58%
Year to Date Return
$9,802.06
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$8,784.95
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
4.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 4.8
30-Day Momentum
34
+2.9%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 36.3
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,370
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,784.95
Current Value
$9,802.06
Period P&L
$1,017.09
Max Drawdown
-28.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
16 /
23
Best Trade
+6.30%
Worst Trade
-4.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
21.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$694,226.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,017.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,017.09
Gross Return
+11.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.58%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,784.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $653.68 | 13 | $8,497.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $660.09 | 13 | $8,581.17 | $8,868.26 |
+$83.30 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $652.80 | 13 | $8,486.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:05pm ET | $650.92 | 13 | $8,461.90 | $8,843.82 |
$-24.44 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:15pm ET | $643.29 | 13 | $8,362.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 1:20pm ET | $651.06 | 13 | $8,463.78 | $8,944.89 |
+$101.08 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 3:05pm ET | $647.90 | 13 | $8,422.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:25pm ET | $647.08 | 13 | $8,411.98 | $8,934.23 |
$-10.66 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 3:30pm ET | $628.57 | 14 | $8,799.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $624.47 | 14 | $8,742.58 | $8,876.83 |
$-57.40 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $619.15 | 14 | $8,668.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $616.58 | 14 | $8,632.05 | $8,840.78 |
$-36.05 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 11:20am ET | $625.25 | 14 | $8,753.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $622.88 | 14 | $8,720.32 | $8,807.67 |
$-33.11 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
42m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $605.19 | 14 | $8,472.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET | $609.16 | 14 | $8,528.24 | $8,863.29 |
+$55.61 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $666.38 | 13 | $8,662.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 1:45pm ET | $672.87 | 13 | $8,747.31 | $8,947.66 |
+$84.37 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 1:50pm ET | $670.99 | 13 | $8,722.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $670.62 | 13 | $8,718.06 | $8,942.86 |
$-4.80 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 2:35pm ET | $718.00 | 12 | $8,616.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 2:45pm ET | $716.76 | 12 | $8,601.12 | $8,927.98 |
$-14.88 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:50pm ET | $690.80 | 12 | $8,289.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $680.31 | 12 | $8,163.72 | $8,802.10 |
$-125.88 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:15am ET | $671.66 | 13 | $8,731.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:55pm ET | $675.32 | 13 | $8,779.16 | $8,849.74 |
+$47.64 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $661.18 | 13 | $8,595.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:40pm ET | $658.66 | 13 | $8,562.64 | $8,817.05 |
$-32.70 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:20pm ET | $674.23 | 13 | $8,764.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $673.72 | 13 | $8,758.30 | $8,810.41 |
$-6.64 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:20am ET | $638.28 | 13 | $8,297.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 12:20pm ET | $635.89 | 13 | $8,266.57 | $8,779.40 |
$-31.01 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 1:15pm ET | $644.97 | 13 | $8,384.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 1:35pm ET | $644.23 | 13 | $8,374.99 | $8,769.78 |
$-9.62 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $657.15 | 13 | $8,542.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 2:20pm ET | $656.47 | 13 | $8,534.11 | $8,761.00 |
$-8.78 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $636.28 | 13 | $8,271.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 1:05pm ET | $648.74 | 13 | $8,433.58 | $8,922.94 |
+$161.94 (+2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 3:25pm ET | $641.60 | 13 | $8,340.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 1:40pm ET | $654.86 | 13 | $8,513.18 | $9,095.32 |
+$172.38 (+2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $658.95 | 13 | $8,566.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 12:35pm ET | $667.74 | 13 | $8,680.68 | $9,209.72 |
+$114.40 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $648.76 | 14 | $9,082.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 2:05pm ET | $652.20 | 14 | $9,130.78 | $9,257.90 |
+$48.18 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $614.42 | 15 | $9,216.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 12:05pm ET | $625.90 | 15 | $9,388.44 | $9,429.96 |
+$172.06 (+1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 3:05pm ET | $607.26 | 15 | $9,108.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $602.77 | 15 | $9,041.55 | $9,362.61 |
$-67.35 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 2:10pm ET | $594.78 | 15 | $8,921.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:40pm ET | $594.08 | 15 | $8,911.20 | $9,352.11 |
$-10.50 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 3:30pm ET | $549.65 | 17 | $9,343.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:20am ET | $527.15 | 17 | $8,961.55 | $8,969.70 |
$-382.41 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $551.01 | 16 | $8,816.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $585.70 | 16 | $9,371.20 | $9,524.72 |
+$555.02 (+6.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:15pm ET | $572.11 | 16 | $9,153.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET | $574.83 | 16 | $9,197.28 | $9,568.24 |
+$43.52 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 12:30pm ET | $568.96 | 16 | $9,103.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:35pm ET | $568.57 | 16 | $9,097.12 | $9,562.00 |
$-6.24 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $627.00 | 15 | $9,405.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 1:30pm ET | $630.78 | 15 | $9,461.70 | $9,618.70 |
+$56.70 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:15pm ET | $627.33 | 15 | $9,409.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:25am ET | $626.42 | 15 | $9,396.30 | $9,605.05 |
$-13.65 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $666.82 | 14 | $9,335.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:15pm ET | $672.67 | 14 | $9,417.45 | $9,687.09 |
+$82.04 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:40pm ET | $675.40 | 14 | $9,455.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $683.20 | 14 | $9,564.73 | $9,796.22 |
+$109.13 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $673.12 | 14 | $9,423.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:30pm ET | $671.19 | 14 | $9,396.66 | $9,769.14 |
$-27.08 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 3:40pm ET | $676.41 | 14 | $9,469.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $675.11 | 14 | $9,451.54 | $9,750.94 |
$-18.20 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $660.54 | 14 | $9,247.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $675.00 | 14 | $9,450.00 | $9,953.38 |
+$202.44 (+2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:55pm ET | $670.28 | 14 | $9,383.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $668.94 | 14 | $9,365.16 | $9,934.62 |
$-18.76 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:20am ET | $613.63 | 16 | $9,818.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $606.63 | 16 | $9,706.08 | $9,822.62 |
$-112.00 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $603.64 | 16 | $9,658.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 2:45pm ET | $602.35 | 16 | $9,637.68 | $9,802.06 |
$-20.56 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,802.06
Net Profit/Loss:
$-197.94
Total Return:
-1.98%