ORCL Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 36 trades in period
+5.50%
Year to Date Return
$9,448.01
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$8,955.03
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
5.0/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 4.9
30-Day Momentum
6
-2.7%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1
Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,431
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,955.03
Current Value
$9,448.01
Period P&L
$492.96
Max Drawdown
-31.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
16 /
20
Best Trade
+4.53%
Worst Trade
-4.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
21.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$663,862.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$492.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$492.96
Gross Return
+5.50%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.50%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,955.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $197.96 | 45 | $8,908.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $194.47 | 45 | $8,751.15 | $8,797.99 |
$-157.05 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:15am ET | $196.51 | 44 | $8,646.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 11:35am ET | $195.69 | 44 | $8,610.36 | $8,762.13 |
$-35.86 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $192.79 | 45 | $8,675.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:45pm ET | $193.58 | 45 | $8,710.88 | $8,797.46 |
+$35.32 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 11:40am ET | $189.70 | 46 | $8,726.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 1:30pm ET | $189.77 | 46 | $8,729.42 | $8,800.58 |
+$3.12 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $199.60 | 44 | $8,782.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $204.69 | 44 | $9,006.36 | $9,024.54 |
+$223.96 (+2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:35pm ET | $192.79 | 46 | $8,868.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 11:30am ET | $192.33 | 46 | $8,847.18 | $9,003.38 |
$-21.16 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $188.87 | 47 | $8,876.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.35 | 47 | $8,711.45 | $8,838.17 |
$-165.21 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:30pm ET | $173.91 | 50 | $8,695.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:25pm ET | $178.27 | 50 | $8,913.43 | $9,056.10 |
+$217.93 (+2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $177.15 | 51 | $9,034.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:00pm ET | $184.05 | 51 | $9,386.55 | $9,408.00 |
+$351.90 (+3.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:40pm ET | $174.82 | 53 | $9,265.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:55am ET | $175.67 | 53 | $9,310.38 | $9,452.92 |
+$44.92 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:20pm ET | $165.39 | 57 | $9,426.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 12:50pm ET | $163.95 | 57 | $9,345.15 | $9,371.12 |
$-81.80 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $167.13 | 56 | $9,359.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 1:05pm ET | $167.89 | 56 | $9,401.84 | $9,413.96 |
+$42.84 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:20pm ET | $153.56 | 61 | $9,367.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.88 | 61 | $9,081.68 | $9,128.49 |
$-285.48 (-3.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $142.20 | 64 | $9,100.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:05pm ET | $140.87 | 64 | $9,015.36 | $9,043.05 |
$-85.43 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $158.69 | 56 | $8,886.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $157.48 | 56 | $8,818.60 | $8,975.01 |
$-68.04 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 12:35pm ET | $156.74 | 57 | $8,934.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 12:55pm ET | $156.14 | 57 | $8,899.98 | $8,940.81 |
$-34.20 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 1:45pm ET | $154.49 | 57 | $8,805.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 1:40pm ET | $156.18 | 57 | $8,902.54 | $9,037.42 |
+$96.61 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $140.04 | 64 | $8,962.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:10pm ET | $145.60 | 64 | $9,318.40 | $9,393.58 |
+$356.16 (+4.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $150.85 | 62 | $9,353.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $148.05 | 62 | $9,179.41 | $9,219.98 |
$-173.60 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 3:25pm ET | $143.62 | 64 | $9,191.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:40pm ET | $148.97 | 64 | $9,534.08 | $9,562.38 |
+$342.40 (+3.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 2:35pm ET | $149.06 | 64 | $9,539.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $149.42 | 64 | $9,562.88 | $9,585.42 |
+$23.04 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 3:40pm ET | $162.88 | 58 | $9,447.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:20am ET | $162.41 | 58 | $9,419.78 | $9,558.16 |
$-27.26 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 12:45pm ET | $156.58 | 61 | $9,551.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $155.57 | 61 | $9,489.77 | $9,496.48 |
$-61.68 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 11:55am ET | $153.40 | 61 | $9,357.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 12:35pm ET | $152.95 | 61 | $9,329.94 | $9,468.72 |
$-27.76 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 1:00pm ET | $155.32 | 60 | $9,319.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.85 | 60 | $9,111.00 | $9,260.52 |
$-208.20 (-2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.43 | 61 | $9,237.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $152.93 | 61 | $9,328.73 | $9,352.02 |
+$91.50 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.10 | 62 | $9,244.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 10:50am ET | $148.11 | 62 | $9,182.79 | $9,290.61 |
$-61.41 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $139.90 | 66 | $9,233.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:40pm ET | $146.24 | 66 | $9,652.17 | $9,709.05 |
+$418.44 (+4.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $145.05 | 66 | $9,573.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.90 | 66 | $9,497.73 | $9,633.48 |
$-75.57 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $139.81 | 68 | $9,507.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 1:55pm ET | $138.65 | 68 | $9,428.32 | $9,554.72 |
$-78.76 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:50pm ET | $162.78 | 58 | $9,441.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:15pm ET | $169.57 | 58 | $9,835.06 | $9,948.54 |
+$393.82 (+4.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:45pm ET | $178.06 | 55 | $9,793.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $174.99 | 55 | $9,624.72 | $9,779.96 |
$-168.58 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET | $183.88 | 53 | $9,745.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $187.02 | 53 | $9,912.06 | $9,946.12 |
+$166.16 (+1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.95 | 55 | $9,897.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $172.48 | 55 | $9,486.40 | $9,535.27 |
$-410.85 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $172.15 | 55 | $9,468.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $172.43 | 55 | $9,483.65 | $9,550.67 |
+$15.40 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET | $163.12 | 58 | $9,460.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $161.35 | 58 | $9,358.30 | $9,448.01 |
$-102.66 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,448.01
Net Profit/Loss:
$-551.99
Total Return:
-5.52%