Compendium › Luke Liquidation › UNIUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
UNIUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Luke Liquidation's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 5 trades in period

+5.62%
Last Month Return
$12,309.36
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$10,914.09
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:19:26

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.6 oversold
20d Trend
-49.9%
5d Trend
-45.7%
EMA20 Dist
-41.0%
ATR%
16.2%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.1/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
7.4/10
Raw Quality 29.7/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 25.1

30-Day Momentum

27
+8.1%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.1 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,980
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
32 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,914.09
Current Value
$12,309.36
Period P&L
$612.90
Max Drawdown
-38.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+6.28%
Worst Trade
-3.37%
Avg Trade Return
+1.66%
Avg Hold Time
14.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$123,837.29
Estimated Fees
$309.59
Gross P&L
$612.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$303.31
Gross Return
+5.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.78%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNIUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 32 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Luke Liquidation had $10,914.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2026 8:05pm ET $5.10 2,233 $11,386.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 8:05pm ET $5.28 2,233 $11,787.51 $11,787.51 +$342.70
(+3.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 7:45am ET $5.70 2,067 $11,787.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 5:35am ET $6.00 2,067 $12,389.91 $12,389.91 +$541.96
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:25am ET $8.88 1,395 $12,389.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 8:45am ET $9.44 1,395 $13,168.14 $13,168.14 +$714.34
(+6.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:15am ET $9.41 1,399 $13,168.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:50am ET $9.10 1,399 $12,724.97 $12,724.97 $-507.90
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:50am ET $9.10 1,399 $12,724.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 5:30am ET $8.80 1,399 $12,309.36 $12,309.36 $-478.20
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,309.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,309.36
Total Return: +23.09%
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