Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 03:35:51

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
22.6 oversold
20d Trend
-49.9%
5d Trend
-45.7%
EMA20 Dist
-41.0%
ATR%
16.2%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 13.0/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 9.9

30-Day Momentum

50
+13.3%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 75.4 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+40 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,020
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-25 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
32 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,149.44
Current Value
$9,328.60
Period P&L
$912.82
Max Drawdown
-38.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.88

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+5.60%
Worst Trade
-3.10%
Avg Trade Return
+3.23%
Avg Hold Time
6.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$72,423.91
Estimated Fees
$181.06
Gross P&L
$912.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$731.76
Gross Return
+11.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.98%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNIUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 32 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Luke Liquidation had $8,149.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:30am ET $2.77 2,971 $8,234.71
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 7:10am ET $2.92 2,971 $8,659.52 $8,659.52 +$382.57
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:00pm ET $2.57 3,366 $8,659.52
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:00pm ET $2.72 3,366 $9,144.16 $9,144.16 +$440.13
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET $2.42 3,775 $9,144.16
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:45am ET $2.55 3,775 $9,626.62 $9,626.62 +$435.54
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 5:10am ET $2.56 3,754 $9,626.62
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 8:30am ET $2.49 3,754 $9,328.60 $9,328.60 $-345.42
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,328.60
Net Profit/Loss: $-671.40
Total Return: -6.71%
Back to Luke Liquidation