Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:10:05

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.6 oversold
20d Trend
-35.0%
5d Trend
-42.1%
EMA20 Dist
-37.0%
ATR%
14.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 7.7/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 6.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,547
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,089.31
Current Value
$10,048.18
Period P&L
$314.46
Max Drawdown
-13.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
6 / 2
Best Trade
+5.57%
Worst Trade
-3.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.96%
Avg Hold Time
16.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$157,886.57
Estimated Fees
$394.72
Gross P&L
$314.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$-80.26
Gross Return
+3.46%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.88%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Luke Liquidation had $9,089.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $7.01 1,333 $9,339.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:55am ET $7.26 1,333 $9,668.69 $9,668.69 +$282.16
(+3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:35am ET $7.92 1,221 $9,668.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2026 11:35am ET $8.04 1,221 $9,819.96 $9,819.96 +$102.55
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $11.59 848 $9,819.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 6:00pm ET $12.23 848 $10,366.44 $10,366.44 +$496.02
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 6:30pm ET $12.15 853 $10,366.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $11.72 853 $9,996.64 $9,996.64 $-420.71
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $11.72 853 $9,996.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 6:20am ET $11.37 853 $9,695.27 $9,695.27 $-350.59
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2026 7:30pm ET $11.20 866 $9,695.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 7:30pm ET $11.30 866 $9,781.14 $9,781.14 +$37.17
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:00am ET $12.89 759 $9,781.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:00am ET $13.08 759 $9,921.55 $9,921.55 +$91.15
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:10am ET $12.35 803 $9,921.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:10am ET $12.51 803 $10,048.18 $10,048.18 +$76.71
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,048.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$48.18
Total Return: +0.48%
Back to Luke Liquidation