Compendium › Luke Liquidation › PEPEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PEPEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Luke Liquidation's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 8 trades in period

-13.97%
Last 6 Months Return
$31,223.44
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$35,512.43
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:58:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.2 neutral
20d Trend
-19.0%
5d Trend
-17.2%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.6%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.2/35
Total Return
19.3/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 43.6/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 37.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
52,295
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
182 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$35,512.43
Current Value
$31,223.44
Period P&L
$-4,959.41
Max Drawdown
-49.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+5.23%
Worst Trade
-3.59%
Avg Trade Return
-1.28%
Avg Hold Time
5.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$554,784.73
Estimated Fees
$1,386.96
Gross P&L
$-4,959.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-6,346.37
Gross Return
-13.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.87%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEPEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 182 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Luke Liquidation had $35,512.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $0.00000320 11,097,634,375 $35,512.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $0.00000309 11,097,634,375 $34,291.69 $34,117.18 $-1,395.25
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $0.00000309 11,041,158,576 $34,117.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:20pm ET $0.00000325 11,041,158,576 $35,883.77 $35,708.76 +$1,591.58
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:20pm ET $0.00000325 10,987,310,769 $35,708.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $0.00000342 10,987,310,769 $37,576.60 $37,393.39 +$1,684.63
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $0.00000384 9,737,861,979 $37,393.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:40am ET $0.00000371 9,737,861,979 $36,127.47 $35,943.67 $-1,449.72
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $0.00000446 8,059,118,834 $35,943.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 5:20am ET $0.00000430 8,059,118,834 $34,654.21 $34,654.21 $-1,465.95
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
16.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:25pm ET $0.00000418 8,290,480,861 $34,654.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:10pm ET $0.00000404 8,290,480,861 $33,493.54 $33,493.54 $-1,331.04
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:00pm ET $0.00000412 8,129,500,650 $33,493.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 5:30am ET $0.00000398 8,129,500,650 $32,355.41 $32,355.41 $-1,302.75
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2026 5:50pm ET $0.00000343 9,433,064,140 $32,355.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 21, 2026 8:00pm ET $0.00000331 9,433,064,140 $31,223.44 $31,223.44 $-1,290.91
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $31,223.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$21,223.44
Total Return: +212.23%
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