Compendium › Luke Liquidation › DOTUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOTUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Luke Liquidation's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 3 trades in period

+4.28%
Year to Date Return
$11,510.79
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,982.36
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:19:46

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.6 oversold
20d Trend
-46.1%
5d Trend
-40.6%
EMA20 Dist
-40.2%
ATR%
14.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 29.3/100
× Confidence 0.65 = 18.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,171
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,982.36
Current Value
$11,510.79
Period P&L
$469.96
Max Drawdown
-12.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.52

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+6.26%
Worst Trade
-3.08%
Avg Trade Return
+1.98%
Avg Hold Time
8.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$68,820.19
Estimated Fees
$172.05
Gross P&L
$469.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$297.91
Gross Return
+4.28%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.71%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOTUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Luke Liquidation had $10,982.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET $1.98 5,559 $10,982.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 19, 2026 7:00pm ET $2.03 5,559 $11,286.42 $11,230.75 +$248.39
(+2.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $1.15 9,766 $11,230.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $1.22 9,766 $11,933.89 $11,875.98 +$645.23
(+6.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
24m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.50 7,939 $11,875.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 21, 2026 8:05pm ET $1.45 7,939 $11,510.79 $11,510.79 $-423.66
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,510.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,510.79
Total Return: +15.11%
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