Compendium › Luke Liquidation › DOTUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOTUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Luke Liquidation's Analysis

2024-01-01 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 09:45:00+00 • 24 trades executed

+8.56%
2 Years Return
$11,510.79
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$10,549.50
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:46:23

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.6 oversold
20d Trend
-46.1%
5d Trend
-40.6%
EMA20 Dist
-40.2%
ATR%
14.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 29.3/100
× Confidence 0.65 = 19.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,337
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
731 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,549.50
Current Value
$11,510.79
Total P&L
$902.82
Max Drawdown
-12.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
18
Winners / Losers
11 / 7
Best Trade
+8.54%
Worst Trade
-10.54%
Avg Trade Return
+1.12%
Avg Hold Time
3.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$383,015.85
Estimated Fees
$957.54
Gross P&L
$902.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$-54.72
Gross Return
+8.56%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.52%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOTUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 731 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Luke Liquidation had $10,549.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2024 2:00pm ET $6.33 1,667 $10,549.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2024 2:10pm ET $6.11 1,667 $10,176.18 $10,124.37 $-425.13
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2024 9:40pm ET $5.52 1,834 $10,124.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2024 1:10am ET $5.80 1,834 $10,638.29 $10,586.39 +$462.02
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 4, 2024 10:55pm ET $5.05 2,095 $10,586.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 5, 2024 2:45am ET $5.31 2,095 $11,131.11 $11,076.81 +$490.42
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2024 9:05pm ET $4.19 2,642 $11,076.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2024 10:00pm ET $4.06 2,642 $10,717.53 $10,663.05 $-413.76
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
54m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 12:25am ET $3.95 2,702 $10,663.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 2:20am ET $3.68 2,702 $9,936.15 $9,884.65 $-778.40
(-6.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 2:20am ET $3.68 2,688 $9,884.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 3:15am ET $3.91 2,688 $10,513.70 $10,462.70 +$578.05
(+6.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
54m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2024 11:50am ET $10.47 999 $10,462.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 2:15pm ET $11.02 999 $11,008.22 $10,954.54 +$491.84
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 3:45pm ET $8.58 1,276 $10,954.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 4:00pm ET $7.68 1,276 $9,799.48 $9,747.60 $-1,206.94
(-10.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 4:00pm ET $7.68 1,270 $9,747.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 4:05pm ET $8.33 1,270 $10,580.42 $10,529.60 +$782.00
(+8.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 4:05pm ET $8.33 1,263 $10,529.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 4:35pm ET $8.76 1,263 $11,061.51 $11,007.54 +$477.94
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
30m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2025 8:45pm ET $4.55 2,418 $11,007.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2025 8:50pm ET $4.29 2,418 $10,369.28 $10,315.84 $-691.70
(-5.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 5:45am ET $3.95 2,608 $10,315.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 5:45am ET $4.01 2,608 $10,449.13 $10,397.22 +$81.38
(+1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET $3.44 3,022 $10,397.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $3.25 3,022 $9,832.02 $9,781.45 $-615.77
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
14 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $3.25 3,007 $9,781.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET $3.48 3,007 $10,458.00 $10,407.40 +$625.95
(+6.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6m held
15 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 8:20pm ET $2.93 3,553 $10,407.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 10:25pm ET $3.11 3,553 $11,035.97 $10,982.36 +$574.96
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET $1.98 5,559 $10,982.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 19, 2026 7:00pm ET $2.03 5,559 $11,286.42 $11,230.75 +$248.39
(+2.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $1.15 9,766 $11,230.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $1.22 9,766 $11,933.89 $11,875.98 +$645.23
(+6.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
24m held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.50 7,939 $11,875.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 21, 2026 8:05pm ET $1.45 7,939 $11,510.79 $11,510.79 $-423.66
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,510.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,510.79
Total Return: +15.11%
Back to Luke Liquidation