Compendium › Luke Liquidation › UNIUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
UNIUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Luke Liquidation's Analysis

2024-01-01 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-25 02:45:00+00 • 41 trades executed

+1.29%
2 Years Return
$12,309.36
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$11,379.97
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:05

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.6 oversold
20d Trend
-49.9%
5d Trend
-45.7%
EMA20 Dist
-41.0%
ATR%
16.2%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.1/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
7.4/10
Raw Quality 29.7/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 25.1

30-Day Momentum

27
+8.1%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.1 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,556
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
732 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,379.97
Current Value
$12,309.36
Total P&L
$147.02
Max Drawdown
-38.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
29
Winners / Losers
17 / 12
Best Trade
+10.52%
Worst Trade
-21.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.73%
Avg Hold Time
8.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$591,742.69
Estimated Fees
$1,479.36
Gross P&L
$147.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,332.34
Gross Return
+1.29%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.71%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNIUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 732 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Luke Liquidation had $11,379.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 4:00pm ET $14.28 797 $11,379.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 4:05pm ET $15.05 797 $11,990.24 $11,931.81 +$551.84
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 4:05pm ET $15.05 793 $11,931.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 4:30pm ET $15.82 793 $12,540.69 $12,479.51 +$547.70
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
24m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2024 12:50pm ET $13.66 914 $12,479.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 1:40pm ET $13.24 914 $12,099.35 $12,037.90 $-441.61
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2025 8:45pm ET $8.28 1,453 $12,037.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2025 8:50pm ET $7.79 1,453 $11,314.14 $11,255.76 $-782.14
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2025 8:55pm ET $7.80 1,444 $11,255.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2025 9:05pm ET $7.39 1,444 $10,662.44 $10,607.64 $-648.12
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 2:00am ET $7.95 1,335 $10,607.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 2:00am ET $8.13 1,335 $10,854.55 $10,800.89 +$193.25
(+2.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 4:55pm ET $6.96 1,552 $10,800.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET $6.37 1,552 $9,885.18 $9,833.46 $-967.43
(-8.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET $6.37 1,544 $9,833.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $5.00 1,544 $7,721.00 $7,677.11 $-2,156.35
(-21.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $5.00 1,535 $7,677.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET $5.53 1,535 $8,484.74 $8,444.34 +$767.23
(+10.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6m held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 8:50pm ET $5.89 1,434 $8,444.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 9:15pm ET $5.70 1,434 $8,168.98 $8,127.45 $-316.89
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
24m held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 1:35pm ET $7.29 1,114 $8,127.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 11:05am ET $7.69 1,114 $8,568.93 $8,527.19 +$399.74
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 11:50am ET $5.26 1,620 $8,527.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 13, 2025 11:50am ET $5.46 1,620 $8,844.69 $8,801.26 +$274.07
(+3.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $3.33 2,641 $8,801.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $3.21 2,641 $8,468.54 $8,425.36 $-375.90
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $2.92 2,885 $8,425.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:30pm ET $3.07 2,885 $8,861.05 $8,817.84 +$392.48
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:25pm ET $4.05 2,175 $8,817.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $3.92 2,175 $8,528.55 $8,528.55 $-332.65
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2026 7:45pm ET $3.54 2,409 $8,528.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 22, 2026 5:05pm ET $3.42 2,409 $8,234.71 $8,234.71 $-335.75
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:30am ET $2.77 2,971 $8,234.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 7:10am ET $2.92 2,971 $8,659.52 $8,659.52 +$382.57
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:00pm ET $2.57 3,366 $8,659.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:00pm ET $2.72 3,366 $9,144.16 $9,144.16 +$440.13
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET $2.42 3,775 $9,144.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:45am ET $2.55 3,775 $9,626.62 $9,626.62 +$435.54
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 5:10am ET $2.56 3,754 $9,626.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 8:30am ET $2.49 3,754 $9,328.60 $9,328.60 $-345.42
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $2.74 3,400 $9,328.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 5:40pm ET $2.88 3,400 $9,801.20 $9,801.20 +$424.78
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:20am ET $3.57 2,748 $9,801.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2026 10:00am ET $3.75 2,748 $10,300.78 $10,300.78 +$449.33
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 4:15pm ET $4.02 2,565 $10,300.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 8:35pm ET $4.22 2,565 $10,829.12 $10,829.12 +$475.51
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $4.05 2,671 $10,829.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 8:40am ET $4.26 2,671 $11,386.87 $11,386.87 +$502.21
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.5h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2026 8:05pm ET $5.10 2,233 $11,386.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 8:05pm ET $5.28 2,233 $11,787.51 $11,787.51 +$342.70
(+3.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 7:45am ET $5.70 2,067 $11,787.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 5:35am ET $6.00 2,067 $12,389.91 $12,389.91 +$541.96
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:25am ET $8.88 1,395 $12,389.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 8:45am ET $9.44 1,395 $13,168.14 $13,168.14 +$714.34
(+6.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:15am ET $9.41 1,399 $13,168.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:50am ET $9.10 1,399 $12,724.97 $12,724.97 $-507.90
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:50am ET $9.10 1,399 $12,724.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 5:30am ET $8.80 1,399 $12,309.36 $12,309.36 $-478.20
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,309.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,309.36
Total Return: +23.09%
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