Compendium › Luke Liquidation › XRPUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XRPUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Luke Liquidation's Analysis

2024-01-01 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 09:45:00+00 • 30 trades executed

+53.84%
2 Years Return
$16,841.64
Current Value
72%
Win Rate
$10,774.88
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:47:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 67%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.3/35
Total Return
15.3/25
Win Rate
11.3/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
7.9/10
Raw Quality 47.1/100
× Confidence 0.67 = 31.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (67%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,338
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
731 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,774.88
Current Value
$16,841.64
Total P&L
$5,801.15
Max Drawdown
-25.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.36

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
25
Winners / Losers
18 / 7
Best Trade
+9.11%
Worst Trade
-25.41%
Avg Trade Return
+2.53%
Avg Hold Time
4.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$775,926.64
Estimated Fees
$1,939.82
Gross P&L
$5,801.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,861.33
Gross Return
+53.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+35.84%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 731 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Luke Liquidation had $10,774.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2024 2:10pm ET $0.4590 23,475 $10,774.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2024 2:30pm ET $0.4847 23,475 $11,378.18 $11,322.80 +$547.92
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2024 12:40am ET $0.4932 22,958 $11,322.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2024 3:00pm ET $0.4779 22,958 $10,971.55 $10,915.81 $-406.99
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 4, 2024 10:55pm ET $0.3985 27,392 $10,915.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 5, 2024 9:30am ET $0.4185 27,392 $11,463.65 $11,407.71 +$491.90
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2024 9:05pm ET $0.4801 23,761 $11,407.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 1:15am ET $0.4638 23,761 $11,020.40 $10,964.33 $-443.38
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 2:20am ET $0.4411 24,857 $10,964.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 3:20am ET $0.4653 24,857 $11,565.86 $11,509.54 +$545.21
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 16, 2024 9:15am ET $1.13 10,185 $11,509.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 16, 2024 9:20am ET $1.22 10,185 $12,462.90 $12,402.97 +$893.43
(+8.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 16, 2024 11:10pm ET $1.03 12,087 $12,402.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2024 2:05am ET $1.08 12,087 $13,058.35 $12,994.70 +$591.73
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2024 7:40am ET $1.30 10,001 $12,994.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2024 8:15am ET $1.37 10,001 $13,743.95 $13,677.11 +$682.41
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
36m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2024 8:50am ET $2.40 5,707 $13,677.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2024 9:05am ET $2.58 5,707 $14,726.75 $14,655.74 +$978.63
(+7.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2024 8:20pm ET $2.19 6,693 $14,655.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 9:30pm ET $2.32 6,693 $15,540.56 $15,465.07 +$809.33
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 4:00pm ET $2.05 7,527 $15,465.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 4:05pm ET $2.18 7,527 $16,416.54 $16,336.83 +$871.76
(+6.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 4:05pm ET $2.18 7,491 $16,336.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 4:20pm ET $2.30 7,491 $17,193.04 $17,109.21 +$772.38
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 20, 2024 5:10am ET $2.06 8,324 $17,109.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 20, 2024 6:35am ET $1.98 8,324 $16,459.13 $16,375.21 $-734.00
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 2:25am ET $2.68 6,119 $16,375.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 2:40am ET $2.82 6,119 $17,243.54 $17,159.49 +$784.28
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2025 12:50pm ET $2.54 6,766 $17,159.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2025 2:35pm ET $2.67 6,766 $18,086.05 $17,997.94 +$838.45
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2025 9:05pm ET $1.98 9,095 $17,997.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2025 9:10pm ET $2.10 9,095 $19,099.05 $19,006.30 +$1,008.36
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2025 4:40pm ET $2.43 7,814 $19,006.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2025 8:00pm ET $2.56 7,814 $20,015.84 $19,918.29 +$911.99
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2025 6:40pm ET $1.99 9,998 $19,918.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 6:40pm ET $2.06 9,998 $20,589.17 $20,487.90 +$569.61
(+3.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET $2.30 8,927 $20,487.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $1.71 8,927 $15,281.56 $15,192.14 $-5,295.76
(-25.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
20 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $1.71 8,875 $15,192.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET $1.87 8,875 $16,575.74 $16,496.33 +$1,304.19
(+9.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6m held
21 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET $1.87 8,832 $16,496.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:30pm ET $2.03 8,832 $17,963.40 $17,877.25 +$1,380.92
(+8.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12m held
22 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 7:05pm ET $2.32 7,698 $17,877.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 10:35pm ET $2.44 7,698 $18,777.19 $18,685.56 +$808.31
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 16, 2026 12:10pm ET $1.49 12,574 $18,685.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $1.43 12,574 $17,984.38 $17,984.38 $-792.85
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:25pm ET $1.44 12,500 $17,984.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET $1.39 12,500 $17,375.36 $17,375.36 $-697.42
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.4h held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2026 5:50pm ET $1.44 12,070 $17,375.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 22, 2026 4:20am ET $1.40 12,070 $16,841.64 $16,841.64 $-619.26
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,841.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,841.64
Total Return: +68.42%
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