Compendium › Macro Monday › WMT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
WMT
Alpaca Tradeable

Macro Monday's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 4 trades in period

-4.80%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,150.57
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$10,661.87
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:54:15

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 52%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.1/35
Total Return
3.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
2.5/10
Raw Quality 7.2/100
× Confidence 0.52 = 3.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (52%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,661.87
Current Value
$10,150.57
Period P&L
$-511.30
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.91

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
0 / 4
Best Trade
-0.43%
Worst Trade
-3.53%
Avg Trade Return
-1.21%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$84,228.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-511.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$-511.30
Gross Return
-4.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Macro Monday had $10,661.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $125.24 85 $10,661.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $124.71 85 $10,616.32 $10,616.32 $-45.55
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET $128.43 83 $10,616.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $127.88 83 $10,570.44 $10,570.44 $-45.88
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $118.68 89 $10,570.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $118.14 89 $10,521.46 $10,521.46 $-48.98
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $113.33 93 $10,521.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $109.33 93 $10,150.57 $10,150.57 $-370.89
(-3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,150.57
Net Profit/Loss: +$150.57
Total Return: +1.51%
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