Compendium › Macro Monday › GOOGL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GOOGL
Alpaca Tradeable

Macro Monday's Analysis

to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 10 trades executed

+29.66%
2 Years Return
$13,646.63
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$10,525.24
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:36:05

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 5, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 43%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
25.5/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
11.3/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 72.3/100
× Confidence 0.43 = 31.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (43%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
74,442
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,525.24
Current Value
$13,646.63
Total P&L
$3,121.39
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.08

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+7.73%
Worst Trade
-2.07%
Avg Trade Return
+3.38%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$193,465.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,121.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,121.39
Gross Return
+29.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+29.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Macro Monday had $10,525.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2024 9:35am ET $168.16 63 $10,525.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2024 3:55pm ET $180.80 63 $11,316.39 $11,316.39 +$791.15
(+7.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET $188.79 60 $11,316.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $192.88 60 $11,561.45 $11,561.45 +$245.06
(+2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $166.20 70 $11,561.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $162.76 70 $11,322.15 $11,322.15 $-239.30
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:40am ET $150.88 75 $11,322.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $150.72 75 $11,310.47 $11,310.47 $-11.68
(-0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $141.85 80 $11,310.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $152.82 80 $12,185.17 $12,185.17 +$874.70
(+7.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:50am ET $147.74 82 $12,185.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $159.04 82 $13,116.75 $13,116.75 +$931.58
(+7.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET $164.51 80 $13,116.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $173.51 80 $13,834.47 $13,834.47 +$717.72
(+5.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:25am ET $304.91 45 $13,834.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $300.77 45 $13,646.63 $13,646.63 $-187.84
(-1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,646.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,646.63
Total Return: +36.47%
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