Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:07

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.3/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
4.6/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 49.5/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 34.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
44,024
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
517 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$12,260.12
Current Value
$12,905.11
Total P&L
$644.98
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+6.43%
Worst Trade
-3.11%
Avg Trade Return
+0.94%
Avg Hold Time
17d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$146,624.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$644.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$644.98
Gross Return
+5.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 517 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Calm Sea had $12,260.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2024 9:30am ET $170.11 72 $12,247.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2024 9:45am ET $164.93 72 $11,874.96 $11,887.17 $-372.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 27, 2024 1:25pm ET $183.52 64 $11,744.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 9:40am ET $177.90 64 $11,385.60 $11,527.81 $-359.36
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2024 9:40am ET $173.76 66 $11,468.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2025 9:30am ET $179.43 66 $11,842.05 $11,901.70 +$373.89
(+3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:40am ET $207.53 57 $11,829.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 9:30am ET $220.88 57 $12,590.16 $12,662.65 +$760.95
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:50am ET $224.35 56 $12,563.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $235.97 56 $13,214.32 $13,313.37 +$650.72
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $257.57 51 $13,135.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $249.56 51 $12,727.56 $12,905.11 $-408.26
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,905.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,905.11
Total Return: +29.05%
Back to Marcus Calm Sea