Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:35:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 69%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.1/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
11.3/15
Profit Factor
8.2/15
Consistency
7.8/10
Raw Quality 48.5/100
× Confidence 0.69 = 33.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (69%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,785
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,688.52
Current Value
$11,578.00
Period P&L
$-110.52
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-14.09

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
0 / 2
Best Trade
-0.56%
Worst Trade
-0.65%
Avg Trade Return
-0.61%
Avg Hold Time
30d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$45,110.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-110.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$-110.52
Gross Return
-0.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Calm Sea had $11,688.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 2:00pm ET $629.38 18 $11,328.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:00pm ET $625.83 18 $11,264.94 $11,651.44 $-63.90
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $705.93 16 $11,294.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $701.34 16 $11,221.44 $11,578.00 $-73.44
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,578.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,578.00
Total Return: +15.78%
Back to Marcus Calm Sea