Compendium › Marcus Calm Sea › QQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
QQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Calm Sea's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 11 trades executed

+15.09%
2 Years Return
$12,191.77
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$10,592.97
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:35:25

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Apr 21, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 44%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.3/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
6.4/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 47.9/100
× Confidence 0.44 = 21.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (44%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
88,073
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,592.97
Current Value
$12,191.77
Total P&L
$1,598.80
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.62

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+5.05%
Worst Trade
-3.01%
Avg Trade Return
+2.09%
Avg Hold Time
21.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$159,274.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,598.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,598.80
Gross Return
+15.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Calm Sea had $10,592.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 7, 2024 1:45pm ET $440.45 24 $10,570.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2024 2:40pm ET $462.59 24 $11,102.16 $11,124.33 +$531.36
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2024 9:30am ET $461.90 24 $11,085.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2024 1:35pm ET $485.24 24 $11,645.76 $11,684.56 +$560.23
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2024 12:15pm ET $483.94 24 $11,614.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2024 9:30am ET $480.08 24 $11,521.80 $11,591.80 $-92.76
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2024 10:15am ET $510.93 22 $11,240.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 15, 2024 1:30pm ET $495.57 22 $10,902.54 $11,253.88 $-337.92
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 27, 2024 10:05am ET $505.90 22 $11,129.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 13, 2024 9:35am ET $531.35 22 $11,689.70 $11,813.78 +$559.90
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 12:10pm ET $571.74 20 $11,434.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 9:30am ET $598.61 20 $11,972.20 $12,351.18 +$537.40
(+4.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 2:05pm ET $619.06 19 $11,762.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $610.67 19 $11,602.73 $12,191.77 $-159.41
(-1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,191.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,191.77
Total Return: +21.92%
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