Compendium › Marcus Calm Sea › WMT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
WMT
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Calm Sea's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 12 trades executed

+35.76%
2 Years Return
$15,688.68
Current Value
88%
Win Rate
$11,556.05
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:41:41

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Apr 13, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 45%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
15.0/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
9.1/10
Raw Quality 88.7/100
× Confidence 0.45 = 39.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (45%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
64,731
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,556.05
Current Value
$15,688.68
Total P&L
$4,132.63
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.38

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
8
Winners / Losers
7 / 1
Best Trade
+6.73%
Worst Trade
-3.36%
Avg Trade Return
+4.05%
Avg Hold Time
18.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$217,959.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,132.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,132.63
Gross Return
+35.76%
Net Return (after fees)
+35.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Calm Sea had $11,556.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 3, 2024 9:30am ET $59.43 193 $11,469.99 — — —
🔴 SELL May 16, 2024 9:30am ET $63.43 193 $12,242.01 $12,245.08 +$772.02
(+6.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 17, 2024 2:30pm ET $64.49 189 $12,188.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2024 9:30am ET $66.55 189 $12,577.95 $12,634.42 +$389.34
(+3.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2024 2:35pm ET $67.61 186 $12,575.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2024 3:50pm ET $71.00 186 $13,205.07 $13,264.03 +$629.61
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2024 9:30am ET $85.10 155 $13,190.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 22, 2024 9:35am ET $89.62 155 $13,891.10 $13,964.63 +$700.60
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2024 3:50pm ET $91.34 152 $13,883.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 6, 2024 9:55am ET $95.91 152 $14,578.32 $14,659.27 +$694.64
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 9:55am ET $95.01 154 $14,631.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 20, 2024 9:40am ET $91.82 154 $14,140.28 $14,168.01 $-491.26
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:50am ET $98.01 144 $14,113.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 9:35am ET $103.03 144 $14,836.32 $14,890.89 +$722.88
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:05am ET $113.12 131 $14,818.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $119.21 131 $15,616.51 $15,688.68 +$797.79
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,688.68
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,688.68
Total Return: +56.89%
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