Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
7.7/10
Raw Quality 68.2/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 52.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
27,125
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$17,768.25
Current Value
$17,598.35
Period P&L
$-169.90
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+5.11%
Worst Trade
-4.52%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$238,923.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-169.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$-169.90
Gross Return
-0.96%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Credit Crisis had $17,768.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 1:45pm ET $441.21 40 $17,648.40
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 9:30am ET $421.28 40 $16,851.20 $16,979.45 $-797.20
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $428.62 39 $16,716.18
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 9:50am ET $415.64 39 $16,210.01 $16,473.28 $-506.17
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $441.75 37 $16,344.57
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:40am ET $464.32 37 $17,179.66 $17,308.37 +$835.09
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 10:05am ET $467.28 37 $17,289.36
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 3:20pm ET $490.87 37 $18,162.19 $18,181.20 +$872.83
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:35am ET $434.19 41 $17,801.79
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $416.44 41 $17,074.04 $17,453.45 $-727.75
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $411.16 42 $17,268.72
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $394.80 42 $16,581.60 $16,766.33 $-687.12
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $392.42 42 $16,481.64
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $412.23 42 $17,313.66 $17,598.35 +$832.02
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,598.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,598.35
Total Return: +75.98%
Back to Marcus Credit Crisis