Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:30:21

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.2/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 30.4/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 21.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,556.32
Current Value
$11,735.15
Period P&L
$2,178.81
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.00

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
4 / 1
Best Trade
+12.02%
Worst Trade
-3.17%
Avg Trade Return
+4.81%
Avg Hold Time
10.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$109,047.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,178.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,178.81
Gross Return
+22.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Credit Crisis had $9,556.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 2:05pm ET $89.70 104 $9,328.80
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 9:30am ET $100.48 104 $10,449.92 $10,453.86 +$1,121.12
(+12.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 3:50pm ET $105.18 99 $10,412.82
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 11:30am ET $110.51 99 $10,940.00 $10,981.03 +$527.17
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 9:45am ET $111.46 98 $10,923.08
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 10:40am ET $117.18 98 $11,483.64 $11,541.59 +$560.56
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $100.17 115 $11,519.55
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:50am ET $96.99 115 $11,153.85 $11,175.89 $-365.70
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET $94.39 118 $11,138.08
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:05pm ET $99.13 118 $11,697.34 $11,735.15 +$559.26
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,735.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,735.15
Total Return: +17.35%
Back to Marcus Credit Crisis