Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:55:46

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 69%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 5.7/100
× Confidence 0.69 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (69%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
31,077
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,720.62
Current Value
$9,491.72
Period P&L
$-1,228.90
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.51

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+5.02%
Worst Trade
-4.44%
Avg Trade Return
-1.72%
Avg Hold Time
11.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$102,888.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,228.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,228.90
Gross Return
-11.46%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Credit Crisis had $10,720.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 12:45pm ET $42.13 246 $10,363.29
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 2:35pm ET $44.24 246 $10,883.04 $10,900.20 +$519.75
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 3:45pm ET $43.82 248 $10,867.36
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 1:35pm ET $42.49 248 $10,538.14 $10,570.98 $-329.22
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 9:30am ET $44.08 239 $10,535.12
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2025 11:45am ET $42.75 239 $10,217.25 $10,253.11 $-317.87
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET $50.83 201 $10,216.83
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:30am ET $49.23 201 $9,895.23 $9,931.51 $-321.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $49.78 199 $9,906.22
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $47.57 199 $9,466.43 $9,491.72 $-439.79
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,491.72
Net Profit/Loss: $-508.28
Total Return: -5.08%
Back to Marcus Credit Crisis