Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:55:52

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,406
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,465.73
Current Value
$9,123.11
Period P&L
$657.39
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+5.85%
Worst Trade
-3.06%
Avg Trade Return
+1.13%
Avg Hold Time
6.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$105,686.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$657.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$657.39
Gross Return
+7.77%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.77%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Credit Crisis had $8,465.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 3:20pm ET $108.05 79 $8,535.95
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 1:00pm ET $113.48 79 $8,964.92 $9,000.96 +$428.97
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:10pm ET $116.66 77 $8,982.82
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $113.16 77 $8,713.32 $8,731.46 $-269.50
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 3:10pm ET $115.96 75 $8,697.19
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2025 11:05am ET $121.77 75 $9,132.38 $9,166.64 +$435.19
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET $139.23 65 $9,049.95
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $134.97 65 $8,773.05 $8,889.74 $-276.90
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $137.20 64 $8,780.80
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:55pm ET $133.06 64 $8,515.84 $8,624.78 $-264.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $135.26 63 $8,521.07
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $143.16 63 $9,019.39 $9,123.11 +$498.33
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,123.11
Net Profit/Loss: $-876.89
Total Return: -8.77%
Back to Marcus Credit Crisis