Compendium › Marcus Credit Crisis › CRWD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CRWD
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Credit Crisis's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 3 trades in period

-3.21%
Last 3 Months Return
$17,598.35
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$18,181.20
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:49:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
7.7/10
Raw Quality 68.2/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 52.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,853
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,181.20
Current Value
$17,598.35
Period P&L
$-582.85
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+5.05%
Worst Trade
-4.09%
Avg Trade Return
-1.01%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$102,521.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-582.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$-582.85
Gross Return
-3.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Credit Crisis had $18,181.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:35am ET $434.19 41 $17,801.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $416.44 41 $17,074.04 $17,453.45 $-727.75
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $411.16 42 $17,268.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $394.80 42 $16,581.60 $16,766.33 $-687.12
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $392.42 42 $16,481.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $412.23 42 $17,313.66 $17,598.35 +$832.02
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,598.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,598.35
Total Return: +75.98%
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