Compendium › Marcus Credit Crisis › ISRG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ISRG
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Credit Crisis's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 2 trades in period

+1.52%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,507.81
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$11,335.01
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:45:39

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.6/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 28.9/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 21.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,643
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
133 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,335.01
Current Value
$11,507.81
Period P&L
$172.80
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
1 / 1
Best Trade
+5.04%
Worst Trade
-3.34%
Avg Trade Return
+0.85%
Avg Hold Time
11.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$44,119.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$172.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$172.80
Gross Return
+1.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 133 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Credit Crisis had $11,335.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:10pm ET $485.16 23 $11,158.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $468.95 23 $10,785.96 $10,962.29 $-372.72
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET $450.62 24 $10,814.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $473.35 24 $11,360.40 $11,507.81 +$545.52
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,507.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,507.81
Total Return: +15.08%
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