Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:33:42

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jul 8, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 50%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.4/35
Total Return
3.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 11.3/100
× Confidence 0.50 = 5.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (50%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
53,855
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
526 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,395.64
Current Value
$10,197.16
Total P&L
$-198.49
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+5.27%
Worst Trade
-3.19%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
8.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$208,312.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-198.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-198.49
Gross Return
-1.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 526 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Credit Crisis had $10,395.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2025 9:30am ET $60.30 172 $10,371.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 10:20am ET $58.38 172 $10,040.50 $10,064.55 $-331.10
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 10:20am ET $56.40 178 $10,039.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 3:50pm ET $54.65 178 $9,726.81 $9,752.16 $-312.39
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 12:40pm ET $54.51 178 $9,701.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 3:40pm ET $52.86 178 $9,409.08 $9,459.35 $-292.81
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 10:00am ET $57.37 164 $9,407.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 12:15pm ET $55.56 164 $9,111.84 $9,163.33 $-296.02
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 11:35am ET $57.44 159 $9,132.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 3:00pm ET $55.70 159 $8,855.51 $8,885.87 $-277.46
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2025 3:10pm ET $55.97 158 $8,843.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 11:30am ET $54.25 158 $8,570.71 $8,612.97 $-272.90
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 11:35am ET $54.89 156 $8,562.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2025 3:50pm ET $57.79 156 $9,014.46 $9,064.59 +$451.62
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 1:10pm ET $59.07 153 $9,037.71 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 9:35am ET $62.03 153 $9,490.59 $9,517.47 +$452.88
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $63.40 150 $9,510.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 9:35am ET $66.61 150 $9,990.83 $9,998.30 +$480.83
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $79.32 126 $9,994.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:45pm ET $76.93 126 $9,693.18 $9,697.16 $-301.14
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $78.49 123 $9,653.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:05am ET $82.55 123 $10,153.65 $10,197.16 +$500.00
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,197.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$197.16
Total Return: +1.97%
Back to Marcus Credit Crisis