Compendium › Marcus Credit Crisis › ISRG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ISRG
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Credit Crisis's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 31 trades executed

+8.40%
2 Years Return
$11,507.81
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$10,615.70
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:45:39

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.6/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 28.9/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 21.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,515
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
515 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,615.70
Current Value
$11,507.81
Total P&L
$892.11
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
23
Winners / Losers
11 / 12
Best Trade
+7.63%
Worst Trade
-8.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.69%
Avg Hold Time
7.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$516,228.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$892.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$892.11
Gross Return
+8.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 515 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Credit Crisis had $10,615.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2024 11:05am ET $365.88 27 $9,878.76 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2024 9:30am ET $384.44 27 $10,379.88 $10,597.88 +$501.12
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2024 9:30am ET $416.86 25 $10,421.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2024 1:30pm ET $437.81 25 $10,945.25 $11,121.63 +$523.75
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2024 9:35am ET $436.43 25 $10,910.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2024 9:30am ET $420.41 25 $10,510.13 $10,721.00 $-400.63
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2024 1:30pm ET $442.29 24 $10,614.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 9, 2024 11:00am ET $465.03 24 $11,160.72 $11,266.76 +$545.76
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2024 1:55pm ET $462.59 24 $11,102.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2024 9:40am ET $487.06 24 $11,689.44 $11,854.04 +$587.28
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2024 2:45pm ET $486.85 24 $11,684.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2024 9:30am ET $469.90 24 $11,277.48 $11,447.12 $-406.92
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 6, 2024 10:25am ET $469.23 24 $11,261.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2024 1:50pm ET $492.91 24 $11,829.72 $12,015.32 +$568.20
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 13, 2024 2:25pm ET $493.16 24 $11,835.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 4, 2024 10:20am ET $478.11 24 $11,474.64 $11,654.12 $-361.20
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2025 9:40am ET $494.17 23 $11,365.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 11:35am ET $478.63 23 $11,008.49 $11,296.70 $-357.42
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 14, 2025 12:20pm ET $485.89 23 $11,175.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2025 3:50pm ET $510.56 23 $11,742.88 $11,864.11 +$567.41
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2025 11:45am ET $508.61 23 $11,698.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 28, 2025 10:25am ET $492.65 23 $11,330.95 $11,497.03 $-367.08
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2025 10:10am ET $487.33 23 $11,208.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $469.47 23 $10,797.81 $11,086.25 $-410.78
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $435.57 25 $10,889.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $468.81 25 $11,720.25 $11,917.25 +$831.00
(+7.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 11:20am ET $477.52 24 $11,460.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 2:25pm ET $462.93 24 $11,110.32 $11,567.21 $-350.04
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:50am ET $497.76 23 $11,448.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 12:00pm ET $479.59 23 $11,030.57 $11,149.30 $-417.91
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 11:55am ET $490.70 22 $10,795.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $474.11 22 $10,430.42 $10,784.32 $-364.98
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 1:25pm ET $475.41 22 $10,459.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $509.78 22 $11,215.16 $11,540.38 +$756.06
(+7.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 3:50pm ET $508.85 22 $11,194.59 — — —
🔴 SELL May 2, 2025 9:40am ET $534.95 22 $11,768.90 $12,114.69 +$574.31
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 3:45pm ET $533.75 22 $11,742.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:50am ET $560.78 22 $12,337.16 $12,709.35 +$594.66
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:05pm ET $554.53 22 $12,199.66 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $537.11 22 $11,816.42 $12,326.11 $-383.24
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 11:40am ET $549.45 22 $12,087.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $504.40 22 $11,096.80 $11,335.01 $-991.10
(-8.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:10pm ET $485.16 23 $11,158.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $468.95 23 $10,785.96 $10,962.29 $-372.72
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET $450.62 24 $10,814.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $473.35 24 $11,360.40 $11,507.81 +$545.52
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,507.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,507.81
Total Return: +15.08%
Back to Marcus Credit Crisis