Compendium › Marcus Credit Crisis › VZ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VZ
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Credit Crisis's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 15:50:00+00 • 21 trades executed

-2.18%
2 Years Return
$9,491.72
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$9,703.37
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:52:11

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 69%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 5.7/100
× Confidence 0.69 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (69%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
63,152
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,703.37
Current Value
$9,491.72
Total P&L
$-211.65
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
16
Winners / Losers
7 / 9
Best Trade
+5.60%
Worst Trade
-4.95%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
14.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$331,513.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-211.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-211.65
Gross Return
-2.18%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Credit Crisis had $9,703.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2024 10:00am ET $39.12 248 $9,701.76 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2024 9:30am ET $39.66 248 $9,836.18 $9,872.50 +$134.42
(+1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2024 1:45pm ET $39.61 249 $9,861.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2024 9:30am ET $41.64 249 $10,368.36 $10,379.22 +$506.72
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2024 10:10am ET $41.30 251 $10,365.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2024 9:30am ET $39.25 251 $9,851.75 $9,865.92 $-513.30
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2024 3:15pm ET $40.55 243 $9,852.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 30, 2024 3:15pm ET $41.62 243 $10,113.66 $10,127.15 +$261.22
(+2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2024 1:30pm ET $42.18 240 $10,122.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 13, 2024 3:35pm ET $44.30 240 $10,630.80 $10,635.95 +$508.80
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2024 9:30am ET $44.43 239 $10,618.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2024 10:15am ET $43.03 239 $10,284.19 $10,301.37 $-334.58
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 14, 2025 9:30am ET $43.28 238 $10,299.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $45.70 238 $10,876.60 $10,878.52 +$577.15
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2025 1:25pm ET $45.30 240 $10,870.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 11:25am ET $43.92 240 $10,540.80 $10,548.52 $-330.00
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 12:55pm ET $42.26 249 $10,522.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2025 10:50am ET $44.38 249 $11,049.38 $11,075.16 +$526.64
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2025 11:35am ET $44.46 249 $11,070.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 12:10pm ET $43.08 249 $10,726.92 $10,731.54 $-343.62
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 1:10pm ET $43.00 249 $10,705.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 25, 2025 10:30am ET $41.59 249 $10,354.67 $10,380.45 $-351.09
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 12:45pm ET $42.13 246 $10,363.29 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 2:35pm ET $44.24 246 $10,883.04 $10,900.20 +$519.75
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 3:45pm ET $43.82 248 $10,867.36 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 1:35pm ET $42.49 248 $10,538.14 $10,570.98 $-329.22
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 9:30am ET $44.08 239 $10,535.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2025 11:45am ET $42.75 239 $10,217.25 $10,253.11 $-317.87
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET $50.83 201 $10,216.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:30am ET $49.23 201 $9,895.23 $9,931.51 $-321.60
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $49.78 199 $9,906.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $47.57 199 $9,466.43 $9,491.72 $-439.79
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,491.72
Net Profit/Loss: $-508.28
Total Return: -5.08%
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