Compendium › Marcus Credit Crisis › AMZN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMZN
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Credit Crisis's Analysis

to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 32 trades executed

+6.41%
2 Years Return
$12,881.72
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$12,106.21
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:20:18

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jul 8, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 54%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.2/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
2.6/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 43.0/100
× Confidence 0.54 = 23.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (54%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
75,890
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$12,106.21
Current Value
$12,881.72
Total P&L
$775.52
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
16
Winners / Losers
6 / 10
Best Trade
+10.45%
Worst Trade
-6.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.68%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$360,858.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$775.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$775.52
Gross Return
+6.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Credit Crisis had $12,106.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 13, 2024 12:30pm ET $186.62 63 $11,756.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2024 9:50am ET $180.86 63 $11,394.46 $11,467.66 $-362.33
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2025 9:30am ET $197.75 57 $11,271.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2025 9:35am ET $191.62 57 $10,922.34 $11,118.25 $-349.41
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2025 1:25pm ET $201.80 55 $11,099.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 28, 2025 10:10am ET $195.55 55 $10,755.25 $10,774.50 $-343.75
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 10:10am ET $186.84 57 $10,649.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2025 12:45pm ET $197.00 57 $11,229.00 $11,353.62 +$579.12
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 1:35pm ET $181.31 62 $11,240.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $170.28 62 $10,557.36 $10,670.07 $-683.55
(-6.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $165.50 64 $10,592.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $179.05 64 $11,459.20 $11,537.27 +$867.20
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 11:10am ET $178.87 64 $11,447.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 2:40pm ET $173.39 64 $11,097.13 $11,187.04 $-350.23
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 11:40am ET $180.88 61 $11,033.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 1:30pm ET $175.33 61 $10,695.13 $10,848.49 $-338.55
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2025 3:25pm ET $172.57 62 $10,699.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 9:50am ET $167.27 62 $10,370.43 $10,519.58 $-328.91
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 1:25pm ET $173.04 60 $10,382.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $184.33 60 $11,059.68 $11,197.16 +$677.58
(+6.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 9:30am ET $188.18 59 $11,102.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET $181.42 59 $10,703.78 $10,798.20 $-398.96
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 12:15pm ET $189.05 57 $10,775.85 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $208.80 57 $11,901.60 $11,923.95 +$1,125.75
(+10.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 9:30am ET $200.65 59 $11,838.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 10:50am ET $210.79 59 $12,436.32 $12,521.92 +$597.97
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $213.25 58 $12,368.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET $206.54 58 $11,979.32 $12,132.74 $-389.18
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $210.31 57 $11,987.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $203.98 57 $11,626.86 $11,771.93 $-360.81
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $204.52 57 $11,657.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.99 57 $12,767.43 $12,881.72 +$1,109.79
(+9.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,881.72
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,881.72
Total Return: +28.82%
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