Compendium › Marcus Credit Crisis › DIS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DIS
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Credit Crisis's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 26 trades executed

+1.00%
2 Years Return
$11,735.15
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$11,618.94
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:41:39

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.2/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 30.4/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 21.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
58,920
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,618.94
Current Value
$11,735.15
Total P&L
$116.19
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
18
Winners / Losers
7 / 11
Best Trade
+12.02%
Worst Trade
-5.19%
Avg Trade Return
+0.28%
Avg Hold Time
9.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$369,179.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$116.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$116.19
Gross Return
+1.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Credit Crisis had $11,618.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2024 10:40am ET $111.91 101 $11,302.91 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2024 9:30am ET $106.98 101 $10,804.48 $10,904.38 $-498.44
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2024 10:40am ET $99.61 109 $10,857.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2024 10:00am ET $96.62 109 $10,531.04 $10,577.92 $-326.46
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2024 3:50pm ET $93.90 112 $10,516.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 9:50am ET $91.06 112 $10,198.72 $10,259.84 $-318.08
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 1:50pm ET $88.93 115 $10,226.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2024 3:25pm ET $86.20 115 $9,913.00 $9,945.89 $-313.95
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 9, 2024 9:35am ET $85.22 116 $9,885.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 16, 2024 12:10pm ET $89.49 116 $10,380.52 $10,440.61 +$494.72
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2024 9:30am ET $89.67 116 $10,401.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2024 10:30am ET $86.90 116 $10,080.40 $10,119.87 $-320.74
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2024 11:55am ET $91.73 110 $10,090.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 27, 2024 11:00am ET $96.32 110 $10,595.20 $10,624.77 +$504.90
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2025 9:30am ET $98.35 108 $10,621.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $93.24 108 $10,070.08 $10,073.05 $-551.72
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $85.89 117 $10,049.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 3:00pm ET $83.28 117 $9,743.76 $9,767.68 $-305.37
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 10:50am ET $85.58 114 $9,756.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 2:05pm ET $82.96 114 $9,457.44 $9,469.00 $-298.68
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:50am ET $87.07 108 $9,403.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 12:00pm ET $84.30 108 $9,104.40 $9,169.84 $-299.16
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 11:35am ET $84.82 108 $9,160.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 1:55pm ET $82.20 108 $8,877.82 $8,887.10 $-282.74
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2025 3:10pm ET $84.89 104 $8,828.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 9:40am ET $89.18 104 $9,274.20 $9,332.74 +$445.64
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 2:05pm ET $89.70 104 $9,328.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 9:30am ET $100.48 104 $10,449.92 $10,453.86 +$1,121.12
(+12.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 3:50pm ET $105.18 99 $10,412.82 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 11:30am ET $110.51 99 $10,940.00 $10,981.03 +$527.17
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 9:45am ET $111.46 98 $10,923.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 10:40am ET $117.18 98 $11,483.64 $11,541.59 +$560.56
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $100.17 115 $11,519.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:50am ET $96.99 115 $11,153.85 $11,175.89 $-365.70
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET $94.39 118 $11,138.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:05pm ET $99.13 118 $11,697.34 $11,735.15 +$559.26
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,735.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,735.15
Total Return: +17.35%
Back to Marcus Credit Crisis