Compendium › Marcus Credit Crisis › META
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
META
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Credit Crisis's Analysis

to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 38 trades executed

-11.31%
2 Years Return
$12,272.79
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$13,837.24
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:29:31

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jul 8, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 56%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.9/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 35.7/100
× Confidence 0.56 = 20.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (56%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
69,477
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$13,837.24
Current Value
$12,272.79
Total P&L
$-1,564.45
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
19
Winners / Losers
6 / 13
Best Trade
+7.32%
Worst Trade
-6.03%
Avg Trade Return
-0.58%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$436,489.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,564.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,564.45
Gross Return
-11.31%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Credit Crisis had $13,837.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2025 9:35am ET $611.25 22 $13,447.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 12:10pm ET $592.69 22 $13,039.18 $13,429.03 $-408.21
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2025 9:30am ET $595.26 22 $13,095.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2025 10:45am ET $576.87 22 $12,691.13 $13,024.44 $-404.59
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2025 9:40am ET $601.56 21 $12,632.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 28, 2025 12:15pm ET $583.02 21 $12,243.49 $12,635.17 $-389.27
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2025 2:00pm ET $581.40 21 $12,209.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $546.33 21 $11,472.97 $11,898.85 $-736.32
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $510.20 23 $11,734.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $488.05 23 $11,225.15 $11,389.40 $-509.45
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 10:50am ET $534.31 21 $11,220.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 1:05pm ET $517.41 21 $10,865.61 $11,034.50 $-354.90
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:55am ET $562.46 19 $10,686.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 11:55am ET $545.52 19 $10,364.88 $10,712.64 $-321.86
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 11:10am ET $537.79 19 $10,218.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2025 1:15pm ET $521.41 19 $9,906.79 $10,401.42 $-311.22
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 1:30pm ET $505.28 20 $10,105.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 9:40am ET $489.55 20 $9,791.00 $10,086.82 $-314.60
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 1:20pm ET $495.05 20 $9,901.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $531.28 20 $10,625.52 $10,811.34 +$724.52
(+7.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 11:45am ET $527.60 20 $10,552.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2025 9:40am ET $555.36 20 $11,107.20 $11,366.54 +$555.20
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2025 11:15am ET $548.72 20 $10,974.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2025 9:40am ET $532.21 20 $10,644.20 $11,036.34 $-330.20
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 11:55am ET $575.08 19 $10,926.52 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 9:30am ET $607.14 19 $11,535.66 $11,645.48 +$609.14
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 10:40am ET $594.64 19 $11,298.17 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:40am ET $624.91 19 $11,873.29 $12,220.60 +$575.12
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 12:15pm ET $642.08 19 $12,199.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 9:30am ET $675.49 19 $12,834.31 $12,855.39 +$634.79
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:40am ET $629.13 20 $12,582.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET $609.33 20 $12,186.60 $12,459.39 $-396.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $601.38 20 $12,027.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $581.09 20 $11,621.80 $12,053.59 $-405.80
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $585.70 20 $11,714.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $565.70 20 $11,313.90 $11,653.49 $-400.10
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET $575.03 20 $11,500.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $606.00 20 $12,120.00 $12,272.79 +$619.30
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,272.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,272.79
Total Return: +22.73%
Back to Marcus Credit Crisis