Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-25 17:50:43

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.8
Active
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.5/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 28.7/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 26.5

30-Day Momentum

7
-5.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,611.32
Current Value
$11,505.21
Period P&L
$-106.12
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+9.06%
Worst Trade
-6.29%
Avg Trade Return
-0.44%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$199,398.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-106.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$-106.12
Gross Return
-0.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Fed Whisperer had $11,611.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $42.01 288 $12,098.91
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $40.01 288 $11,523.05 $11,540.65 $-575.86
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $38.90 296 $11,514.40
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:55am ET $37.69 296 $11,156.21 $11,182.46 $-358.19
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:05am ET $37.91 294 $11,145.51
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $39.82 294 $11,707.05 $11,744.00 +$561.54
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:45am ET $40.99 286 $11,721.71
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET $39.69 286 $11,351.31 $11,373.60 $-370.40
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:50am ET $43.52 261 $11,358.75
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $42.16 261 $11,003.76 $11,018.61 $-354.99
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:30pm ET $39.75 277 $11,010.72
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $37.25 277 $10,318.25 $10,326.14 $-692.47
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:15pm ET $37.83 272 $10,289.76
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:20pm ET $36.66 272 $9,971.52 $10,007.90 $-318.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 2:15pm ET $36.96 270 $9,979.17
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $40.31 270 $10,883.70 $10,912.43 +$904.53
(+9.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:35am ET $39.30 277 $10,886.10
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $41.44 277 $11,478.88 $11,505.21 +$592.78
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,505.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,505.21
Total Return: +15.05%
Back to Marcus Fed Whisperer