AMGN Marcus Fed Whisperer's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 31 trades in period
+33.62%
Last Year Return
$13,872.11
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$10,382.14
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
43
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
27.1/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
53.6/100
× Confidence 0.81
= 43.4
30-Day Momentum
0
-4.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-43 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,883
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$10,382.14
Current Value
$13,872.11
Period P&L
$3,489.97
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
16 /
15
Best Trade
+7.83%
Worst Trade
-7.74%
Avg Trade Return
+1.20%
Avg Hold Time
11d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$735,125.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,489.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,489.97
Gross Return
+33.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+33.62%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Fed Whisperer had $10,382.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 11:40am ET | $275.16 | 36 | $9,905.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 9:35am ET | $289.88 | 36 | $10,435.68 | $10,530.10 |
+$530.10 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 11:05am ET | $297.52 | 35 | $10,413.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:45am ET | $288.26 | 35 | $10,089.10 | $10,206.00 |
$-324.10 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 2:00pm ET | $289.89 | 35 | $10,146.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $305.59 | 35 | $10,695.48 | $10,755.33 |
+$549.33 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET | $316.71 | 33 | $10,451.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 12:05pm ET | $332.62 | 33 | $10,976.46 | $11,280.36 |
+$525.03 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 12:35pm ET | $337.75 | 33 | $11,145.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $327.03 | 33 | $10,791.83 | $10,926.43 |
$-353.93 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 9:55am ET | $319.00 | 34 | $10,846.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.10 | 34 | $11,393.40 | $11,473.83 |
+$547.40 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $338.13 | 33 | $11,158.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 12:40pm ET | $327.45 | 33 | $10,805.85 | $11,121.39 |
$-352.44 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 12:55pm ET | $323.53 | 34 | $10,999.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:55pm ET | $339.71 | 34 | $11,550.14 | $11,671.68 |
+$550.29 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:20pm ET | $346.90 | 33 | $11,447.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $364.48 | 33 | $12,027.68 | $12,251.66 |
+$579.98 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:30pm ET | $365.79 | 33 | $12,071.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $384.13 | 33 | $12,676.29 | $12,856.88 |
+$605.22 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $372.92 | 34 | $12,679.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $369.82 | 34 | $12,573.88 | $12,751.47 |
$-105.40 (-0.8%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $371.23 | 34 | $12,621.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 11:30am ET | $389.82 | 34 | $13,253.71 | $13,383.19 |
+$631.72 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 12:10pm ET | $384.80 | 34 | $13,083.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:50am ET | $373.22 | 34 | $12,689.48 | $12,989.64 |
$-393.55 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $375.22 | 34 | $12,757.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 1:20pm ET | $363.14 | 34 | $12,346.76 | $12,578.92 |
$-410.72 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 2:55pm ET | $367.05 | 34 | $12,479.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $355.11 | 34 | $12,073.74 | $12,173.13 |
$-405.79 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 12:20pm ET | $350.75 | 34 | $11,925.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $336.25 | 34 | $11,432.50 | $11,680.13 |
$-493.00 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $348.46 | 33 | $11,499.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.79 | 33 | $11,081.07 | $11,262.02 |
$-418.11 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $347.56 | 32 | $11,121.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $326.61 | 32 | $10,451.36 | $10,591.46 |
$-670.56 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $324.42 | 32 | $10,381.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $343.27 | 32 | $10,984.64 | $11,194.66 |
+$603.20 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 1:00pm ET | $336.38 | 33 | $11,100.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $324.62 | 33 | $10,712.46 | $10,806.58 |
$-388.08 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 11:25am ET | $344.13 | 31 | $10,668.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $362.56 | 31 | $11,239.36 | $11,377.91 |
+$571.33 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 11:25am ET | $344.13 | 31 | $10,668.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $369.39 | 31 | $11,451.24 | $12,161.12 |
+$783.21 (+7.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 11:30am ET | $368.23 | 33 | $12,151.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 10:25am ET | $356.78 | 33 | $11,773.72 | $11,783.08 |
$-378.04 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 12:20pm ET | $354.79 | 33 | $11,708.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $375.26 | 33 | $12,383.42 | $12,458.43 |
+$675.34 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 1:55pm ET | $364.86 | 34 | $12,405.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $388.24 | 34 | $13,200.16 | $13,253.18 |
+$794.75 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 10:55am ET | $392.09 | 33 | $12,938.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $379.74 | 33 | $12,531.58 | $12,845.79 |
$-407.39 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $382.00 | 33 | $12,606.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $411.89 | 33 | $13,592.53 | $13,832.32 |
+$986.53 (+7.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $402.25 | 34 | $13,676.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $423.54 | 34 | $14,400.36 | $14,556.18 |
+$723.86 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 11:40am ET | $437.13 | 33 | $14,425.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $403.29 | 33 | $13,308.57 | $13,439.46 |
$-1,116.72 (-7.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $390.93 | 34 | $13,291.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $378.92 | 34 | $12,883.11 | $13,030.78 |
$-408.68 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 10:40am ET | $378.01 | 34 | $12,852.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $402.75 | 34 | $13,693.50 | $13,872.11 |
+$841.33 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,872.11
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,872.11
Total Return:
+38.72%