CVX Marcus Fed Whisperer's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 33 trades in period
+43.11%
Last Year Return
$14,184.43
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$9,911.34
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
46
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
29.3/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
4.3/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
56.7/100
× Confidence 0.81
= 46.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,245
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,911.34
Current Value
$14,184.43
Period P&L
$4,273.11
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
17 /
16
Best Trade
+11.11%
Worst Trade
-5.24%
Avg Trade Return
+1.21%
Avg Hold Time
9.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$797,631.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,273.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,273.11
Gross Return
+43.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+43.11%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Fed Whisperer had $9,911.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 10:50am ET | $159.22 | 62 | $9,871.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 10:10am ET | $154.37 | 62 | $9,570.94 | $9,699.30 |
$-300.70 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:10am ET | $153.47 | 63 | $9,668.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 10:10am ET | $157.81 | 63 | $9,941.72 | $9,972.41 |
+$273.11 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 10:10am ET | $154.41 | 64 | $9,882.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:40am ET | $149.66 | 64 | $9,578.24 | $9,668.41 |
$-304.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $148.35 | 65 | $9,642.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $150.72 | 65 | $9,796.80 | $9,822.52 |
+$154.12 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 2:25pm ET | $149.67 | 65 | $9,728.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.53 | 65 | $10,629.44 | $10,723.41 |
+$900.89 (+9.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.46 | 65 | $10,624.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 11:40am ET | $158.49 | 65 | $10,301.85 | $10,400.36 |
$-323.05 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $155.83 | 66 | $10,284.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.70 | 66 | $10,804.20 | $10,919.78 |
+$519.42 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $167.07 | 65 | $10,859.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 2:15pm ET | $175.76 | 65 | $11,424.40 | $11,484.96 |
+$565.18 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 3:40pm ET | $174.42 | 65 | $11,337.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.85 | 65 | $12,015.25 | $12,162.91 |
+$677.95 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $184.35 | 65 | $11,983.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $183.49 | 65 | $11,926.85 | $12,106.68 |
$-56.22 (-0.5%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 2:20pm ET | $182.72 | 66 | $12,059.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $191.96 | 66 | $12,669.36 | $12,716.52 |
+$609.84 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $189.70 | 67 | $12,709.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $199.71 | 67 | $13,380.57 | $13,387.19 |
+$670.67 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 11:40am ET | $200.55 | 66 | $13,236.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $210.93 | 66 | $13,921.38 | $14,071.94 |
+$684.75 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:45pm ET | $212.61 | 66 | $14,032.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET | $205.86 | 66 | $13,586.76 | $13,626.44 |
$-445.50 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:20pm ET | $195.50 | 69 | $13,489.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $188.88 | 69 | $13,032.72 | $13,169.66 |
$-456.78 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $195.08 | 67 | $13,070.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $188.32 | 67 | $12,617.44 | $12,716.75 |
$-452.91 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $189.79 | 67 | $12,715.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.86 | 67 | $12,184.62 | $12,185.44 |
$-531.31 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $184.45 | 66 | $12,173.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $193.68 | 66 | $12,782.88 | $12,794.62 |
+$609.18 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $190.24 | 67 | $12,746.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $184.19 | 67 | $12,340.73 | $12,389.27 |
$-405.35 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $180.30 | 68 | $12,260.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:55am ET | $189.41 | 68 | $12,879.88 | $13,008.75 |
+$619.48 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:35am ET | $194.39 | 66 | $12,829.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $188.19 | 66 | $12,420.54 | $12,599.55 |
$-409.20 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $181.52 | 69 | $12,524.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 11:35am ET | $190.71 | 69 | $13,158.99 | $13,233.66 |
+$634.11 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 3:35pm ET | $188.80 | 70 | $13,216.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.90 | 70 | $12,523.00 | $12,540.66 |
$-693.00 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.64 | 69 | $12,395.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $173.66 | 69 | $11,982.54 | $12,128.03 |
$-412.63 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 1:45pm ET | $174.52 | 69 | $12,041.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $169.21 | 69 | $11,675.49 | $11,761.64 |
$-366.39 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 1:45pm ET | $174.52 | 69 | $12,041.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $168.09 | 69 | $11,598.21 | $11,317.97 |
$-443.67 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 11:30am ET | $171.49 | 65 | $11,146.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.49 | 65 | $11,731.85 | $11,902.97 |
+$585.00 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 1:00pm ET | $181.31 | 65 | $11,785.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.55 | 65 | $12,385.75 | $12,503.57 |
+$600.60 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 11:30am ET | $171.49 | 65 | $11,146.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.55 | 65 | $12,385.51 | $13,742.23 |
+$1,238.66 (+11.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.60 | 70 | $13,622.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.62 | 70 | $13,133.40 | $13,253.63 |
$-488.60 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.82 | 69 | $13,097.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $199.63 | 69 | $13,774.81 | $13,930.86 |
+$677.23 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $201.33 | 69 | $13,891.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.57 | 69 | $14,598.33 | $14,637.42 |
+$706.56 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 1:50pm ET | $211.69 | 69 | $14,606.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $205.13 | 69 | $14,153.63 | $14,184.43 |
$-452.99 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,184.43
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,184.43
Total Return:
+41.84%