Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 06:43:00

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.7/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 40.2/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 35.5

30-Day Momentum

7
-32.8%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,493.41
Current Value
$12,671.11
Period P&L
$-1,822.31
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
9 / 14
Best Trade
+6.52%
Worst Trade
-12.42%
Avg Trade Return
-0.50%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$717,958.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,822.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,822.31
Gross Return
-12.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Fed Whisperer had $14,493.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET $71.38 204 $14,561.52
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET $69.20 204 $14,116.80 $14,157.02 $-444.72
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 2:20pm ET $68.33 207 $14,145.34
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:15am ET $71.89 207 $14,882.26 $14,893.94 +$736.92
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:55am ET $71.94 207 $14,892.61
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $72.98 207 $15,106.88 $15,108.21 +$214.27
(+1.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 10:00am ET $71.46 211 $15,078.04
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:35am ET $68.92 211 $14,542.12 $14,572.29 $-535.92
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 11:30am ET $70.24 207 $14,538.65
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $73.78 207 $15,272.46 $15,306.10 +$733.81
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:25am ET $73.91 207 $15,299.37
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $71.30 207 $14,759.10 $14,765.83 $-540.27
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $70.74 208 $14,713.92
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $75.35 208 $15,672.80 $15,724.71 +$958.88
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $70.32 223 $15,681.36
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:05am ET $73.84 223 $16,466.32 $16,509.67 +$784.96
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $75.18 219 $16,465.51
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:35am ET $72.79 219 $15,941.01 $15,985.17 $-524.50
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:50am ET $71.28 224 $15,965.60
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $75.00 224 $16,798.99 $16,818.56 +$833.39
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $75.93 221 $16,780.53
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $80.04 221 $17,687.74 $17,725.77 +$907.21
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 2:30pm ET $76.82 230 $17,669.75
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:50pm ET $80.68 230 $18,557.55 $18,613.57 +$887.80
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $85.44 217 $18,540.48
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $89.80 217 $19,486.60 $19,559.69 +$946.12
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 3:05pm ET $80.98 241 $19,516.18
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $78.06 241 $18,812.15 $18,855.66 $-704.03
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $77.63 242 $18,786.46
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $67.99 242 $16,453.58 $16,522.78 $-2,332.88
(-12.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:25am ET $69.29 238 $16,491.02
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $67.17 238 $15,987.08 $16,018.84 $-503.94
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET $67.40 237 $15,973.82
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $64.35 237 $15,250.95 $15,295.97 $-722.87
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $61.79 247 $15,262.13
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $59.88 247 $14,790.34 $14,824.18 $-471.79
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $58.90 251 $14,783.93
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:45am ET $57.11 251 $14,334.59 $14,374.84 $-449.34
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $56.44 254 $14,334.49
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET $54.74 254 $13,902.69 $13,943.04 $-431.80
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET $53.70 259 $13,909.47
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:45pm ET $52.08 259 $13,488.75 $13,522.32 $-420.72
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:50pm ET $49.94 270 $13,483.83
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $48.39 270 $13,064.19 $13,102.69 $-419.63
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $46.19 283 $13,070.36
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:40am ET $44.66 283 $12,638.78 $12,671.11 $-431.58
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,671.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,671.11
Total Return: +26.71%
Back to Marcus Fed Whisperer