SQQQ Marcus Fed Whisperer's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-12-25 to present • 45 trades in period
-8.35%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,505.21
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$12,553.47
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.8
Active
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026
26
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.5/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality
28.7/100
× Confidence 0.92
= 26.5
30-Day Momentum
7
-5.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6
Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,945
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-26 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)
Market Closed (7 days)
2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,553.47
Current Value
$11,505.21
Period P&L
$-1,048.27
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
18 /
27
Best Trade
+9.06%
Worst Trade
-12.42%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,253,833.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,048.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,048.27
Gross Return
-8.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.35%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Fed Whisperer had $12,553.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 2:00pm ET | $65.11 | 192 | $12,501.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 3:55pm ET | $68.51 | 192 | $13,153.92 | $13,206.28 |
+$652.80 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.37 | 196 | $13,204.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $65.27 | 196 | $12,792.90 | $12,794.66 |
$-411.62 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:25pm ET | $66.65 | 191 | $12,730.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $64.55 | 191 | $12,329.05 | $12,393.56 |
$-401.10 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 1:45pm ET | $64.28 | 192 | $12,341.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $68.03 | 192 | $13,061.76 | $13,113.76 |
+$720.19 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:55am ET | $64.67 | 202 | $13,063.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.17 | 202 | $13,972.58 | $14,023.00 |
+$909.24 (+7.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $69.95 | 200 | $13,990.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:35pm ET | $67.68 | 200 | $13,536.00 | $13,568.86 |
$-454.14 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $65.57 | 206 | $13,506.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $63.54 | 206 | $13,089.24 | $13,151.71 |
$-417.15 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:00pm ET | $65.71 | 200 | $13,141.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $69.11 | 200 | $13,821.90 | $13,831.89 |
+$680.18 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:40pm ET | $71.33 | 193 | $13,766.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $75.32 | 193 | $14,536.18 | $14,601.74 |
+$769.86 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $71.38 | 204 | $14,561.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $69.20 | 204 | $14,116.80 | $14,157.02 |
$-444.72 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 2:20pm ET | $68.33 | 207 | $14,145.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 11:15am ET | $71.89 | 207 | $14,882.26 | $14,893.94 |
+$736.92 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 11:55am ET | $71.94 | 207 | $14,892.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $72.98 | 207 | $15,106.88 | $15,108.21 |
+$214.27 (+1.4%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 10:00am ET | $71.46 | 211 | $15,078.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $68.92 | 211 | $14,542.12 | $14,572.29 |
$-535.92 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 11:30am ET | $70.24 | 207 | $14,538.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.78 | 207 | $15,272.46 | $15,306.10 |
+$733.81 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:25am ET | $73.91 | 207 | $15,299.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $71.30 | 207 | $14,759.10 | $14,765.83 |
$-540.27 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $70.74 | 208 | $14,713.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.35 | 208 | $15,672.80 | $15,724.71 |
+$958.88 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.32 | 223 | $15,681.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:05am ET | $73.84 | 223 | $16,466.32 | $16,509.67 |
+$784.96 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 2:55pm ET | $75.18 | 219 | $16,465.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $72.79 | 219 | $15,941.01 | $15,985.17 |
$-524.50 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $71.28 | 224 | $15,965.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $75.00 | 224 | $16,798.99 | $16,818.56 |
+$833.39 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $75.93 | 221 | $16,780.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $80.04 | 221 | $17,687.74 | $17,725.77 |
+$907.21 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 2:30pm ET | $76.82 | 230 | $17,669.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:50pm ET | $80.68 | 230 | $18,557.55 | $18,613.57 |
+$887.80 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.44 | 217 | $18,540.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET | $89.80 | 217 | $19,486.60 | $19,559.69 |
+$946.12 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:05pm ET | $80.98 | 241 | $19,516.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $78.06 | 241 | $18,812.15 | $18,855.66 |
$-704.03 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $77.63 | 242 | $18,786.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.99 | 242 | $16,453.58 | $16,522.78 |
$-2,332.88 (-12.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $69.29 | 238 | $16,491.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.17 | 238 | $15,987.08 | $16,018.84 |
$-503.94 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $67.40 | 237 | $15,973.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.35 | 237 | $15,250.95 | $15,295.97 |
$-722.87 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.79 | 247 | $15,262.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:00pm ET | $59.88 | 247 | $14,790.34 | $14,824.18 |
$-471.79 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $58.90 | 251 | $14,783.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $57.11 | 251 | $14,334.59 | $14,374.84 |
$-449.34 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.44 | 254 | $14,334.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $54.74 | 254 | $13,902.69 | $13,943.04 |
$-431.80 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $53.70 | 259 | $13,909.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 1:45pm ET | $52.08 | 259 | $13,488.75 | $13,522.32 |
$-420.72 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:50pm ET | $49.94 | 270 | $13,483.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $48.39 | 270 | $13,064.19 | $13,102.69 |
$-419.63 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 2:05pm ET | $46.19 | 283 | $13,070.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 10:40am ET | $44.66 | 283 | $12,638.78 | $12,671.11 |
$-431.58 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 10:40am ET | $43.69 | 290 | $12,668.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $42.35 | 290 | $12,280.05 | $12,282.51 |
$-388.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 1:55pm ET | $44.48 | 276 | $12,276.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.94 | 276 | $11,851.44 | $11,857.47 |
$-425.04 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $41.08 | 288 | $11,831.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $43.31 | 288 | $12,471.84 | $12,498.27 |
+$640.80 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $43.75 | 285 | $12,470.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $42.42 | 285 | $12,088.28 | $12,116.51 |
$-381.76 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $42.01 | 288 | $12,098.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.01 | 288 | $11,523.05 | $11,540.65 |
$-575.86 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.90 | 296 | $11,514.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $37.69 | 296 | $11,156.21 | $11,182.46 |
$-358.19 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $37.91 | 294 | $11,145.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $39.82 | 294 | $11,707.05 | $11,744.00 |
+$561.54 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $40.99 | 286 | $11,721.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $39.69 | 286 | $11,351.31 | $11,373.60 |
$-370.40 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $43.52 | 261 | $11,358.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $42.16 | 261 | $11,003.76 | $11,018.61 |
$-354.99 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 1:30pm ET | $39.75 | 277 | $11,010.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.25 | 277 | $10,318.25 | $10,326.14 |
$-692.47 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 12:15pm ET | $37.83 | 272 | $10,289.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 1:20pm ET | $36.66 | 272 | $9,971.52 | $10,007.90 |
$-318.24 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 2:15pm ET | $36.96 | 270 | $9,979.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.31 | 270 | $10,883.70 | $10,912.43 |
+$904.53 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $39.30 | 277 | $10,886.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 3:10pm ET | $41.44 | 277 | $11,478.88 | $11,505.21 |
+$592.78 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,505.21
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,505.21
Total Return:
+15.05%