Compendium › Marcus Fed Whisperer › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Fed Whisperer's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 26 trades in period

+23.85%
Year to Date Return
$13,872.11
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$11,200.92
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:21:22

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
27.1/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 53.6/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 43.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-4.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-43 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,714
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
186 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,200.92
Current Value
$13,872.11
Period P&L
$2,671.19
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
13 / 13
Best Trade
+7.83%
Worst Trade
-7.74%
Avg Trade Return
+1.06%
Avg Hold Time
10.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$630,075.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,671.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,671.19
Gross Return
+23.85%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 186 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Fed Whisperer had $11,200.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:55am ET $319.00 34 $10,846.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $335.10 34 $11,393.40 $11,473.83 +$547.40
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:45am ET $338.13 33 $11,158.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $327.45 33 $10,805.85 $11,121.39 $-352.44
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 12:55pm ET $323.53 34 $10,999.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:55pm ET $339.71 34 $11,550.14 $11,671.68 +$550.29
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:20pm ET $346.90 33 $11,447.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $364.48 33 $12,027.68 $12,251.66 +$579.98
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $365.79 33 $12,071.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $384.13 33 $12,676.29 $12,856.88 +$605.22
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $372.92 34 $12,679.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $369.82 34 $12,573.88 $12,751.47 $-105.40
(-0.8%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:35am ET $371.23 34 $12,621.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 11:30am ET $389.82 34 $13,253.71 $13,383.19 +$631.72
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 12:10pm ET $384.80 34 $13,083.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:50am ET $373.22 34 $12,689.48 $12,989.64 $-393.55
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $375.22 34 $12,757.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $363.14 34 $12,346.76 $12,578.92 $-410.72
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $367.05 34 $12,479.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:40am ET $355.11 34 $12,073.74 $12,173.13 $-405.79
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 12:20pm ET $350.75 34 $11,925.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $336.25 34 $11,432.50 $11,680.13 $-493.00
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $348.46 33 $11,499.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $335.79 33 $11,081.07 $11,262.02 $-418.11
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $347.56 32 $11,121.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $326.61 32 $10,451.36 $10,591.46 $-670.56
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $324.42 32 $10,381.44 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $343.27 32 $10,984.64 $11,194.66 +$603.20
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:00pm ET $336.38 33 $11,100.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:50am ET $324.62 33 $10,712.46 $10,806.58 $-388.08
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:25am ET $344.13 31 $10,668.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:45am ET $362.56 31 $11,239.36 $11,377.91 +$571.33
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:25am ET $344.13 31 $10,668.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $369.39 31 $11,451.24 $12,161.12 +$783.21
(+7.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:30am ET $368.23 33 $12,151.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 10:25am ET $356.78 33 $11,773.72 $11,783.08 $-378.04
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:20pm ET $354.79 33 $11,708.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $375.26 33 $12,383.42 $12,458.43 +$675.34
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 1:55pm ET $364.86 34 $12,405.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $388.24 34 $13,200.16 $13,253.18 +$794.75
(+6.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:55am ET $392.09 33 $12,938.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $379.74 33 $12,531.58 $12,845.79 $-407.39
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $382.00 33 $12,606.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET $411.89 33 $13,592.53 $13,832.32 +$986.53
(+7.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:40am ET $402.25 34 $13,676.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $423.54 34 $14,400.36 $14,556.18 +$723.86
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:40am ET $437.13 33 $14,425.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $403.29 33 $13,308.57 $13,439.46 $-1,116.72
(-7.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $390.93 34 $13,291.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:05am ET $378.92 34 $12,883.11 $13,030.78 $-408.68
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:40am ET $378.01 34 $12,852.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $402.75 34 $13,693.50 $13,872.11 +$841.33
(+6.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,872.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,872.11
Total Return: +38.72%
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