Compendium › Marcus Fed Whisperer › JNJ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
JNJ
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Fed Whisperer's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 23 trades in period

+22.80%
Year to Date Return
$15,010.97
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$12,224.41
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:31:03

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

52
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
4.6/15
Consistency
7.7/10
Raw Quality 68.5/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 52.3

30-Day Momentum

0
-0.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-52 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,797
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
187 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,224.41
Current Value
$15,010.97
Period P&L
$2,786.57
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
12 / 11
Best Trade
+5.74%
Worst Trade
-4.01%
Avg Trade Return
+0.92%
Avg Hold Time
9.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$638,830.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,786.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,786.57
Gross Return
+22.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 187 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Fed Whisperer had $12,224.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $210.01 59 $12,390.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:45am ET $203.44 59 $12,002.67 $12,015.25 $-387.92
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:55am ET $205.29 58 $11,906.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:50am ET $215.65 58 $12,507.70 $12,616.14 +$600.89
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:20am ET $216.17 58 $12,537.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $227.24 58 $13,179.63 $13,257.91 +$641.77
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $227.69 58 $13,206.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:55am ET $239.13 58 $13,869.54 $13,921.43 +$663.52
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:25am ET $238.39 58 $13,826.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $242.71 58 $14,077.18 $14,171.99 +$250.56
(+1.8%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $243.14 58 $14,102.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:45am ET $235.79 58 $13,676.11 $13,745.98 $-426.01
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $241.90 56 $13,546.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $234.57 56 $13,135.64 $13,335.50 $-410.48
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $233.43 57 $13,305.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $245.74 57 $14,007.46 $14,037.46 +$701.96
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 11:45am ET $245.24 57 $13,978.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $237.80 57 $13,554.60 $13,613.10 $-424.36
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $235.84 57 $13,442.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $227.15 57 $12,947.55 $13,117.77 $-495.33
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:50am ET $225.73 58 $13,092.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 10:50am ET $233.75 58 $13,557.50 $13,582.87 +$465.10
(+3.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
12 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $229.80 59 $13,558.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $222.31 59 $13,116.29 $13,140.67 $-442.20
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $221.48 59 $13,067.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:05am ET $232.71 59 $13,729.89 $13,803.23 +$662.56
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $231.57 59 $13,662.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET $243.25 59 $14,351.75 $14,492.35 +$689.12
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:05am ET $255.65 56 $14,316.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:35am ET $268.67 56 $15,045.80 $15,221.47 +$729.12
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 1:00pm ET $266.27 57 $15,177.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $258.20 57 $14,717.40 $14,761.47 $-460.00
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $254.28 58 $14,748.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $246.59 58 $14,302.22 $14,315.45 $-446.02
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $252.36 56 $14,132.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:00am ET $265.00 56 $14,840.00 $15,023.29 +$707.84
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:25am ET $270.38 55 $14,870.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $259.55 55 $14,275.25 $14,427.64 $-595.65
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $253.99 56 $14,223.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $266.80 56 $14,940.52 $15,144.72 +$717.08
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:00am ET $273.77 55 $15,057.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:45am ET $264.63 55 $14,554.65 $14,642.02 $-502.70
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:50am ET $265.00 55 $14,574.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $280.22 55 $15,412.10 $15,479.13 +$837.11
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $274.75 56 $15,386.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 10:40am ET $266.39 56 $14,917.84 $15,010.97 $-468.16
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,010.97
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,010.97
Total Return: +50.11%
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