Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:44:43

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.2/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
5.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 69.2/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 49.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,964.92
Current Value
$18,809.92
Period P&L
$2,844.98
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
4.85

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
2 / 0
Best Trade
+10.37%
Worst Trade
+6.82%
Avg Trade Return
+8.59%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$68,566.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,844.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,844.98
Gross Return
+17.82%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.82%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Grave Dancer had $15,964.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $255.61 62 $15,847.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $273.05 62 $16,929.10 $17,046.22 +$1,081.28
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $283.55 60 $17,012.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $312.94 60 $18,776.40 $18,809.92 +$1,763.70
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,809.92
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,809.92
Total Return: +88.10%
Back to Marcus Grave Dancer