Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-16 11:52:27

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.48%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.40%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 16, 2026

52
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
4.6/15
Profit Factor
3.3/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 63.3/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 51.7

30-Day Momentum

52
+16.4%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 85.6 Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,538
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-16 → 2026-06-16
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,729.22
Current Value
$15,194.90
Period P&L
$1,465.66
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
6 / 6
Best Trade
+7.08%
Worst Trade
-5.06%
Avg Trade Return
+0.96%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$310,911.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,465.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,465.66
Gross Return
+10.68%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Grave Dancer had $13,729.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $194.76 70 $13,632.85
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 11:30am ET $188.47 70 $13,192.55 $13,288.94 $-440.30
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $198.62 66 $13,108.92
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:30am ET $192.06 66 $12,675.63 $12,855.65 $-433.29
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $173.83 73 $12,689.59
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET $168.11 73 $12,272.03 $12,438.09 $-417.56
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET $184.60 67 $12,368.20
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 3:15pm ET $178.76 67 $11,976.59 $12,046.47 $-391.62
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $204.00 59 $12,036.00
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:20am ET $196.65 59 $11,602.64 $11,613.11 $-433.36
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:20am ET $168.36 68 $11,448.48
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:00am ET $177.27 68 $12,054.36 $12,218.99 +$605.88
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $200.42 60 $12,025.20
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $210.86 60 $12,651.60 $12,845.39 +$626.40
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $201.71 63 $12,707.73
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $216.00 63 $13,608.00 $13,745.66 +$900.27
(+7.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $216.50 63 $13,639.50
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:40am ET $205.55 63 $12,949.96 $13,056.12 $-689.54
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $210.24 62 $13,034.88
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:55am ET $221.02 62 $13,703.55 $13,724.79 +$668.67
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $261.46 52 $13,596.18
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:45am ET $275.38 52 $14,319.76 $14,448.37 +$723.58
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:15am ET $222.08 65 $14,435.20
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $233.57 65 $15,181.73 $15,194.90 +$746.53
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,194.90
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,194.90
Total Return: +51.95%
Back to Marcus Grave Dancer