Compendium › Marcus Grave Dancer › OXY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
OXY
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Grave Dancer's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 5 trades in period

-8.01%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,194.39
Current Value
20%
Win Rate
$13,255.64
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 02:25:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 18, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 46%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.4/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
5.0/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 38.8/100
× Confidence 0.46 = 18.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (46%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,255.64
Current Value
$12,194.39
Period P&L
$-1,061.25
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.47

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+5.16%
Worst Trade
-3.86%
Avg Trade Return
-1.61%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$128,916.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,061.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,061.25
Gross Return
-8.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Grave Dancer had $13,255.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET $64.12 206 $13,208.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET $62.11 206 $12,794.60 $12,841.52 $-414.12
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $57.00 225 $12,825.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $59.94 225 $13,486.50 $13,503.02 +$661.50
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $55.58 242 $13,451.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $53.44 242 $12,932.48 $12,983.93 $-519.09
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $54.89 236 $12,954.04 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $53.24 236 $12,564.64 $12,594.53 $-389.40
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $53.63 234 $12,549.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $51.92 234 $12,149.28 $12,194.39 $-400.14
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,194.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,194.39
Total Return: +21.94%
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