Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 02:27:07

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

75
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
93.4/35
Total Return
63.0/25
Win Rate
99.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
98.3/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 75.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,308
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
522 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,606.98
Current Value
$11,392.86
Total P&L
$785.88
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.55

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+5.16%
Worst Trade
-3.01%
Avg Trade Return
+1.88%
Avg Hold Time
18.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$89,559.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$785.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$785.88
Gross Return
+7.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 522 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Grave Dancer had $10,606.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 14, 2025 9:40am ET $164.05 64 $10,499.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2025 10:00am ET $172.52 64 $11,041.28 $11,149.06 +$542.08
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 9:50am ET $157.52 70 $11,026.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 9:55am ET $165.42 70 $11,579.40 $11,702.06 +$553.00
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET $143.01 81 $11,583.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 3:20pm ET $138.71 81 $11,235.11 $11,353.36 $-348.70
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $142.75 79 $11,277.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $143.25 79 $11,316.75 $11,392.86 +$39.50
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,392.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,392.86
Total Return: +13.93%
Back to Marcus Grave Dancer