Compendium › Marcus Grave Dancer › GOOGL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GOOGL
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Grave Dancer's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

-8.61%
Year to Date Return
$10,467.75
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$11,453.83
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:19:25

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 60%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.3/35
Total Return
6.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 13.8/100
× Confidence 0.60 = 8.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (60%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,996
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,453.83
Current Value
$10,467.75
Period P&L
$-986.09
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.48

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+5.11%
Worst Trade
-6.95%
Avg Trade Return
-2.15%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$89,916.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-986.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-986.09
Gross Return
-8.61%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Grave Dancer had $11,453.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $314.86 36 $11,334.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:05pm ET $330.95 36 $11,914.20 $12,033.08 +$579.24
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $361.54 33 $11,930.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:45am ET $348.12 33 $11,487.96 $11,590.38 $-442.70
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $345.30 33 $11,394.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $321.29 33 $10,602.57 $10,798.05 $-792.33
(-7.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $359.70 30 $10,791.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 12:50pm ET $348.69 30 $10,460.70 $10,467.75 $-330.30
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,467.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$467.75
Total Return: +4.68%
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