Compendium › Marcus Grave Dancer › GOOGL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GOOGL
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Grave Dancer's Analysis

to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 13 trades executed

-4.29%
2 Years Return
$10,467.75
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$10,937.13
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:55:22

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 60%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.3/35
Total Return
6.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 13.8/100
× Confidence 0.60 = 8.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (60%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
74,612
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,937.13
Current Value
$10,467.75
Total P&L
$-469.39
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+9.91%
Worst Trade
-6.95%
Avg Trade Return
-0.36%
Avg Hold Time
5.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$205,519.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-469.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$-469.39
Gross Return
-4.29%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Grave Dancer had $10,937.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2024 9:40am ET $167.96 65 $10,917.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2024 9:30am ET $184.60 65 $11,999.00 $12,018.73 +$1,081.60
(+9.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2025 9:30am ET $189.67 63 $11,949.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2025 12:15pm ET $183.65 63 $11,569.95 $11,639.32 $-379.42
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $166.20 70 $11,634.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2025 9:45am ET $161.01 70 $11,270.70 $11,276.02 $-363.30
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $141.85 79 $11,206.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $149.56 79 $11,814.85 $11,884.71 +$608.70
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 10:50am ET $157.82 75 $11,836.13 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 11:30am ET $152.07 75 $11,405.25 $11,453.84 $-430.88
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $314.86 36 $11,334.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:05pm ET $330.95 36 $11,914.20 $12,033.08 +$579.24
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $361.54 33 $11,930.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:45am ET $348.12 33 $11,487.96 $11,590.38 $-442.70
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $345.30 33 $11,394.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $321.29 33 $10,602.57 $10,798.05 $-792.33
(-7.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $359.70 30 $10,791.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 12:50pm ET $348.69 30 $10,460.70 $10,467.75 $-330.30
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,467.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$467.75
Total Return: +4.68%
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